Broncos 7-pt road chalk at Chargers
Fresh off a rejuvenating bye week, Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos head to San Diego as big road favorites over a Chargers team that has been deadly as a home dog recently.
San Diego has covered the spread in 9 of its last 11 games as a home underdog. The Chargers are, however, coming off an overtime loss to the Washington Redskins, which was followed by a cross-country plane ride home.
The Broncos will be without head coach John Fox, who is undergoing a heart procedure. Defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio will act as interim coach.
All eight of the Broncos games have gone OVER the total this season, and Denver has covered the spread in 10 of its last 12 games after a bye week. The line has been bet up to 7.5 points this weekend at Bovada.
The Broncos will look to vanquish their hosts on Sunday, as they are 4-4 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Chargers are 5-2-1 ATS. Denver is 8-0 against the total, while San Diego is 4-4 versus the number.
The visitors opened as 7-point favorites in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including BetOnline), while the total was hovering around 57 at most shops.
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Chargers rated this week at No. 14 and the Broncos sitting at No. 1. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 41-29 result in favor of the Broncos this week.
The Broncos were a 45-21 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Redskins. They covered the 11-point spread as favorites, while the total score (66) made winners of OVER bettors. In San Diego's last outing, Philip Rivers threw for 341 yards in a losing cause against the Redskins, 30-24 at FedExField.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits San Diego's No. 15-ranked offense, averaging 24 PPG, against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 25 this week at 27.25 PPG. The Chargers aerial game is averaging 300 yards per game, more than the Broncos secondary allows through the air, 299.12 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Broncos own the league's No. 1-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 65.33 yards per game when on the road. San Diego, on the other hand, rates No. 18 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Broncos at Chargers trends to consider:
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Diego's last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver at Kansas City, Sunday, November 17th
San Diego at Miami, Sunday, November 17th