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UNDER best bet in Giants Bucs?

The defending Super Bowl Champion New York Giants host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Metlife Stadium this Sunday in a game that historically has been a guaranteed UNDER play.

After having their Super Bowl banner celebration ruined by the Dallas Cowboys last Wednesday, the Giants will be looking for a bounce-back at home against Tampa Bay. And while the Bucs have lost seven straight road games (1-6 ATS), it's the total many bettors are watching.

In 12 meetings since 1984, there has never been a winning OVER bet. The UNDER is 11-0-1.

New York opened as an 8-point home favorite at TopBet.

View Tampa Bay vs NY Giants Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook.ag have set the Giants as 9-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total was listed at 44.5 at Bovada.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The game pits the Giants, currently No. 26 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Buccaneers, who rate No. 11 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 23-10 victory for the Buccaneers.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits New York's No. 23-ranked offense, averaging 17 PPG, against a Buccaneers defense that ranks No. 1 this week at 10 PPG. The Giants aerial game is averaging 187 yards per game, less than the Buccaneers secondary allows through the air, 291 YPG per game.

The Buccaneers were a 16-10 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Panthers. They covered the 3-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (26) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Buccaneers grabbed a Week 1 victory over the Panthers in their last game, winning 16-10 at Raymond James Stadium.

New York was a 24-17 loser in its last match at home against the Cowboys. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 41 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. The Giants suffered a Week 1 loss against Dallas in their last game, falling 24-17 at MetLife Stadium.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the division are 2-8

New York Giants Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 7-3

 

A few Buccaneers at Giants trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the NY Giants last 8 games
NY Giants are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games

Next up:
Tampa Bay at Dallas, Sunday, September 23
NY Giants at Carolina, Thursday, September 20