Betting line favors Lions over Falcons
Atlanta heads to Detroit in need of a victory and looking to dump a second straight loss on the Lions.
And if recent trends involving the Falcons before their bye week hold up, this will be an Atlanta cover. In the past 10 seasons, Atlanta is 8-2 ATS before their bye week and they opened getting 4.5 points on the road.
Detroit is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games despite their Week 6 loss, while the Falcons are 7-3 ATS in their past 10 games vs Detroit.
The Lions are listed as 4.5-point favorites at sportsbooks, with the total listed at 48.5. The best underdog and under numbers were posted at Bovada as of mid-week, check the latest Falcons vs Lions odds today before getting your Week 7 action down.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 18-rated Falcons taking on the No. 12-rated Lions in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 35-22 win for the Lions on Sunday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Detroit's No. 4-ranked offense (29.7 PPG) against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 22 at 24.5 PPG. The Lions passing attack has averaged 277.2 yards per game, less than the Falcons give up through the air (282.8 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Falcons own the league's No. 6-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 85.3 yards per game when on the road. Detroit, on the other hand, rates No. 18 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
The Falcons were a 31-17 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Panthers. They covered the 3.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (48) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last game, Atlanta got a 139-yard performance from Michael Turner as a key part of its 31-17 win over Carolina.
The Lions were a 25-19 loser in their most recent outing at home against the 49ers. They failed to cover the 5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (44) made winners of UNDER bettors. Last time out, Detroit could not slow down WinningWR, who managed 113 receiving yards in the 49ers 25-19 victory over the Lions Sunday.
Atlanta Falcons Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 7-3
Detroit Lions Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 5-5
A few Falcons at Lions trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games on the road
Atlanta is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Detroit is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Detroit is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Atlanta at Indianapolis, Sunday, November 6
Detroit at Denver, Sunday, October 30