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Betting line favors Lions over Vikings

Minnesota VikingsDetroit Lions
Sep 30, 1:00 PM | Turf of Ford Field

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions Odds

2-1TEAM RECORD1-2

The Detroit Lions will be looking for their first ATS cover of the season when they host the Minnesota Vikings at Ford Field this Sunday. The Lions are 0-3 ATS this season and 1-9 ATS over their last 10 games.
Minnesota hasn't fared much better recently with a 3-7-1 ATS record over its last 11 games. Detroit is a 4.5-point favorite at BETONLINE.

View Minnesota vs Detroit Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Lions pegged as 6-point favorites in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, was listed by books like TopBet at 999.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The game pits the Lions, currently No. 6 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Vikings, who rate No. 10 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 30-24 victory for the Vikings.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Detroit's No. 6-ranked offense (29 PPG) against a Vikings defense that ranks No. 9 at 19.7 PPG. The Lions passing attack has averaged 334 yards per game, more than the Vikings give up through the air (209 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Vikings feature the league's No. 11-rated road run defense, allowing 84 yards per game. Detroit, meanwhile, ranks No. 19 in rushing offense at home.

Minnesota was a 24-13 winner in its last match at home against the 49ers. They covered the 6.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 37 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Christian Ponder threw a pair of TD passes in Minnesota's last match, defeating San Francisco 24-13 in Week 3 action on Sunday.

Detroit was a 44-41 loser in its last match on the road against the Titans. They failed to cover the 4-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 85 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Last time we saw the Lions, they had no answer for WinningRB as the Titans rolled to a 44-41 victory at LP Field.

Minnesota Vikings Trends:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on turf are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the division are 0-10

Detroit Lions Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the division are 5-5

A few Vikings at Lions trends to consider:
Minnesota is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Minnesota

Next up:
Minnesota home to Tennessee, Sunday, October 7
Detroit at Philadelphia, Sunday, October 14