Suddenly the Buffalo Bills are the Buffalo Bills again, losing big and playing sloppily, to confuse everyone who watched them beat the Patriots and other top teams earlier this season.
Now they get the New York Jets, alleged Super Bowl contenders who have looked lame in losing their past two games as well. So what gives in this AFC East battle (if you want to call it a battle)?
The Bills are 4-1 ATS their past 5 trips here and they will look to avenge a loss three weeks ago at home to these same Jets.
View Buffalo vs NY Jets Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
Oddsmakers opened the Jets as 8.5-point favorites in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 43. But since then, one sportsbook has the Bills at +11. Check out Sportsbook. Only 46% of bettors were on the Bills in the Odds Shark consensus.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 17 (Jets) and the No. 16 (Bills) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 24-22 result in favor of the Jets is predicted by handicapping models.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New York's No. 16-ranked offense (22.8 PPG) against a Bills defense that ranks No. 26 at 25.3 PPG. The Jets passing attack has averaged 217.9 yards per game, less than the Bills give up through the air (250 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Bills feature the league's No. 24-rated road run defense, allowing 131.8 yards per game. New York, meanwhile, ranks No. 23 in rushing offense at home.
Buffalo was a 35-8 loser in its last match on the road against the Dolphins. They failed to cover the 3–point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 43 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
New York was a 17-13 loser in its last match on the road against the Broncos. They failed to cover the 6.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 30 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. In their last game, the Jets were Week 11 losers coming out on the wrong end of 17-13 score against Denver.
Buffalo Bills Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 2-8
New York Jets Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the division are 6-4
A few Bills at Jets trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
Buffalo is 4-9 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
NY Jets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Buffalo
NY Jets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home
NY Jets are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 11 of the NY Jets last 16 games
Next up:
Buffalo home to Tennessee, Sunday, December 4
NY Jets at Washington, Sunday, December 4
