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Bills visit Patriots in Week 17 battle

Buffalo BillsNew England Patriots
Jan 1, 1:00 PM | Turf of Gillette Stadium

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Odds

6-9TEAM RECORD12-3

The Buffalo Bills enjoyed their Super Bowl moment back in Week 3 when they upset the New England Patriots at home, ending a 15-game losing skids against their AFC East rivals.

At the tail end of another sour season in Buffalo, the Bills visit the Pats again, a place they have lost 10 in a row and 16 of 18 trips. Their saving grace could be how many Patriot players get rested for the playoffs.

New England continues to dominate at home late in seasons and they are now 19-0 SU at home in December since 2002. Of note, the Bills have played OVER in 12 of their past 14 season finales.

The Pats are 9-2 ATS past 11 Week 17 games and the OVER is 10-2 past 12 season-ending games.

View Buffalo vs New England Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Oddsmakers opened the Patriots as 13-point favorites in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 51.5.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 13 (Patriots) and the No. 19 (Bills) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 35-23 result in favor of the Patriots is predicted by handicapping models.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits New England's No. 3-ranked offense, averaging 30.9 PPG, against a Bills defense that ranks No. 27 this week at 25.7 PPG. The Patriots aerial game is averaging 316.1 yards per game, more than the Bills secondary allows through the air, 225.3 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Bills feature the league's No. 24-rated road run defense, allowing 135.3 yards per game. New England, meanwhile, ranks No. 21 in rushing offense at home.

In their last action, Buffalo was a 40-14 winner at home against the Broncos. They covered the 2.5–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (54) was profitable news for OVER bettors. C.J. Spiller ran through the Denver defense for 111 yards in Buffalo's last game, handing the Broncos a 40-14 setback on Saturday at Ralph Wilson Stadium.

In their last action, New England was a 27-24 winner at home against the Dolphins. They failed to cover the 7–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (51) was profitable news for OVER bettors. In their last game, New England's aerial attack generated 304 yards and the Patriots came away with a 27-24 victory over Miami at Gillette Stadium.

Buffalo Bills Trends:
When playing in January are 2-8
When playing on turf are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 2-8

New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in January are 5-5
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the division are 8-2

A few Bills at Patriots trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 12 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Buffalo's last 25 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Buffalo's last 16 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
New England is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Buffalo

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