Broncos vs Raiders: Thursday Night Pick
The Denver Broncos will be looking for their eighth straight win Thursday night when they visit the Oakland Raiders at O.co Coliseum.
They will also be seeking their ninth straight SU victory as a favorite. But beware Denver's weakness as a big favorite here. In 11 games as a favorite of 8+ points, the Broncos are 0-11 ATS!
The Broncos are 5-2 ATS over the course of their current seven-game winning streak, but is there a letdown spot, a week after clinching the AFC West?
Oakland meanwhile is 0-5 SU and ATS over its last five games including three losses at home. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six games between the Raiders and Broncos.
Those siding with the visitors in this matchup saw the Broncos listed as 10.5-point favorites at shops such as Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under line for the matchup was at 51 over at Sportsbook.ag.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 30 (Raiders) and the No. 4 (Broncos) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 34-13 result in favor of the Broncos is predicted by handicapping models.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Oakland's No. 23-ranked offense (19.6 PPG) against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 10 at 20.3 PPG. The Raiders passing attack has averaged 278.9 yards per game, more than the Broncos give up through the air (211.8 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Broncos feature the league's No. 16-rated road run defense, allowing 116.5 yards per game. Oakland, meanwhile, ranks No. 29 in rushing offense at home.
The Broncos were a 31-23 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Buccaneers. They covered the 7.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (54) made winners of OVER bettors. Peyton Manning dusted the Buccaneers secondary for 3 TDs last time out as the Broncos defeated Tampa Bay 31-23 at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.
Oakland lost its last outing, a 20-17 result against the Browns on December 2. The Raiders failed to cover in that game as a 2.5-point underdog, while the 37 combined points took the game UNDER the total. In their last game, Oakland's aerial attack generated 351 yards but it was the Browns coming away with a 20-17 victory over Oakland at O.co Coliseum.
Denver Broncos Trends:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the division are 7-3
Oakland Raiders Trends:
When playing in December are 3-7
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing within the division are 5-5
A few Broncos at Raiders trends to consider:
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 10 games at home
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Denver at Baltimore, Sunday, December 16
Oakland home to Kansas City, Sunday, December 16