Broncos vs Chiefs: Week 12 betting
The Denver Broncos have won five straight games and the Kansas City Chiefs have lost seven straight games, and both trends could continue when the Broncos meet the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium this Sunday.
However bettors need to be aware of this tricky trend when Denver is a huge favorite. In the past 10 games where the Broncos were favored by 8+ points, they are 0-10 ATS.
And the last time they were a double-digit road favorite, it was here in Kansas City a few years back and they lost out right to KC.
Denver is 4-1 ATS over its 5-0 SU run while Kansas City is 2-5 ATS over its 0-7 SU run.
Each of the last three games between these two division rivals have gone UNDER the posted total. Kansas City is 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in its last five home games against the Broncos and 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in its last six home games overall.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
It's a betting matchup between the No. 24-rated Chiefs and the No. 5-ranked Broncos, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 33-11 result in favor of the Broncos.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Kansas City's No. 32-ranked offense (15.2 PPG) against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 11 at 21.2 PPG. The Chiefs passing attack has averaged 198 yards per game, less than the Broncos give up through the air (219 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Broncos own the league's No. 14-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 110.2 yards per game when on the road. Kansas City, on the other hand, rates No. 7 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
In their last action, Denver was a 30-23 winner at home against the Chargers. They failed to cover the 8.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (53) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Last time out, Peyton Manning threw for 3 scores and 270 yards in leading his team past San Diego at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.
Kansas City lost its last outing, a 28-6 result against the Bengals on November 18. The Chiefs failed to cover in that game as a 3-point underdog, while the 34 combined points took the game UNDER the total.
Denver Broncos Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the division are 6-4
Kansas City Chiefs Trends:
When playing in November are 2-8
When playing on grass are 1-9
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the division are 3-7
A few Broncos at Chiefs trends to consider:
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 12 games at home
Kansas City is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Kansas City's last 21 games
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Denver home to Tampa Bay, Sunday, December 2
Kansas City home to Carolina, Sunday, December 2