The Cleveland Browns and Cincinnati Bengals will both be looking for their first win of the season Sunday, but the Browns have already covered a spread as an underdog.
That's the situation on the Week 2 odds menu, whcih is complicated by competing and confusing trends involving these AFC North teams.
Cincinnati is a 9-point home favorite at a week after getting thrashed by Baltimore. And the Bengals are terrible as a large favorite, going 0-6 ATS in six recent games as chalk of 8 or more points.
The Browns meanwhile has lost 9 of 11 games as an underdog, but are 8-3 ATS in those games as a dog of 8 or more points. [ Get the latest lines and pocket a juice bonus at Sportsbook.ag ]
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Bengals - Browns odds would favor the Browns if the lines were set according to power ranks. Cincinnati is rated No. 32 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Browns sit at No. 30. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 22-8 win for the Browns.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Cincinnati's No. 29-ranked offense (13 PPG) against a Browns defense that ranks No. 9 at 17 PPG. The Bengals passing attack has averaged 193 yards per game, less than the Browns give up through the air (306 YPG on average).
In their last action, Cleveland was a 17-16 loser at home against the Eagles. They covered the 8.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (33) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In their last game, the Browns were Week 1 losers coming out on the wrong end of 17-16 score against Philadelphia.
Cincinnati was a 44-13 loser in its last match on the road against the Ravens. They failed to cover the 7-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 57 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
Cleveland Browns Trends:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing within the division are 0-10
Cincinnati Bengals Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the division are 3-7
A few Browns at Bengals trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games at home
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cleveland home to Buffalo, Sunday, September 23
Cincinnati at Washington, Sunday, September 23