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Buccaneers battle Falcons in Week 11 odds

Atlanta Falcons Tampa Bay Buccaneers

It took them ten weeks to do it, but the Tampa Bay Buccaneers finally picked up their first victory of this season Monday night, beating Miami 22-19.

The Bucs now go looking for their first winning streak of the season when they host the 2-7 Atlanta Falcons for an NFC South battle Sunday afternoon (1 pm ET, Fox).

Tampa had lost its first eight games this season, then blew an early 15-0 lead Monday night. But with help from a defense that held the Dolphins to two yards rushing for the game the Bucs rallied for their first win with rookie Mike Glennon at quarterback.

On the other side of this match-up Atlanta, after making the playoffs the last three seasons, is going through a disaster of its own this year. The Falcons have lost their last three games by a combined score of 94-33, and are 2-7 ATS for the season.

In the early betting this game was listed as a PK. The Falcons are 8-2 SU past 10 games vs Bucs, but just 0-5-1 ATS iin their past six divisional road games.

The Bucs meanwhile are 3-11 SU in their past 14 divisional games vs NFC South foes.

This season the Buccaneers are 1-8 overall and 3-6 ATS against the number, while the Falcons are 2-7 and 2-7 ATS. As for the totals, Tampa Bay is 5-4 on the OU, and Atlanta is 5-4.

View Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds and Stats.

The Falcons were listed as 2.5-point favorites at sportsbooks such as TopBet, but early betting pushed the line to even. Meanwhile, the total was listed at 43.5 early in the week at 5Dimes.

The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Buccaneers at No. 28 and the Falcons at No. 27 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 16-14 result in favor of the Buccaneers.

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Last time out for Atlanta, they were a 33-10 loser as they battled the Seahawks at home. The Falcons failed to cover in the match as a 3-point underdog, while 43 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, the Buccaneers were Week 10 winners, coming out on top of the Dolphins by a score of 22-19.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Tampa Bay's No. 31-ranked offense, averaging 16.22 PPG, against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 29 this week at 27.89 PPG. The Buccaneers aerial game is averaging 188.67 yards per game, less than the Falcons secondary allows through the air, 252 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Falcons feature the league's No. 22-rated road run defense, allowing 125 yards per game. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, ranks No. 20 in rushing offense at home.

A few Falcons at Buccaneers trends to consider:
Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games
Tampa Bay is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Next up:
Atlanta at New Orleans, Thursday, November 21st
Tampa Bay at Detroit, Sunday, November 24th