The Dallas Cowboys hope to keep a long trend of beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home alive with a win at Cowboys Stadium this Sunday.
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last nine games at home against Tampa Bay and 4-0 ATS over the last four games. Tampa Bay is just 1-11 SU in its last 12 games.
But Dallas as a favorite is historically not a good way to make money. They are just 4-15-1 ATS in 20 recent games as a favorite.
View Tampa Bay vs Dallas Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
The visitors opened as 9-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including Sportsbook), while the total was hovering around 45.5 at most shops.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 7 (Cowboys) and the No. 20 (Buccaneers) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 22-16 result in favor of the Buccaneers is predicted by handicapping models.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Dallas's No. 29-ranked offense (15.5 PPG) against a Buccaneers defense that ranks No. 19 at 25.5 PPG. The Cowboys passing attack has averaged 268.5 yards per game, less than the Buccaneers give up through the air (400.5 YPG on average).
Tampa Bay lost its last outing, a 41-34 result against the Giants on September 16. The Buccaneers covered in that game as a 7.5-point underdog, while the 75 combined points took the game OVER the total. In their last gridiron battle, Vincent Jackson did much of the damage, producing 128 receiving yards but Tampa Bay managed to defeat the Buccaneers 41-34 at MetLife Stadium.
Dallas was a 27-7 loser in its last match on the road against the Seahawks. They failed to cover the 3-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 34 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 0-10
When playing outside the division are 2-8
Dallas Cowboys Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 6-4
A few Buccaneers at Cowboys trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
Next up:
Tampa Bay home to Washington, Sunday, September 30
Dallas home to Chicago, Monday, October 1
