It's hard to picture a battle between Drew Brees and Cam Newton could end up crashing under a total, but if history repeats itself, this is a guaranteed under play as the Saints visit Carolina.

The past eight meetings here have all played UNDER the number, which opened at 53. The under is 11-2 in the past 13 meetings overall and the Saints have struggled against the Panthers at just 2-7 ATS in their past 9.

Newton looks for another huge day, but he is an underdog at home against New Orleans.



View New Orleans vs Carolina Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
On the Sportsbook line for this matchup the Panthers sit as 7-point underdogs . The total, meanwhile, has been pegged by the oddsmakers at 53.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The game pits the Panthers, currently No. 14 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Saints, who rate No. 1 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 33-23 victory for the Saints.



How They Match Up:
The game also pits Carolina's No. 17-ranked offense, averaging 22.2 PPG, against a Saints defense that ranks No. 20 this week at 24.5 PPG. The Panthers aerial game is averaging 334.8 yards per game, more than the Saints secondary allows through the air, 254 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Saints feature the league's No. 13-rated road run defense, allowing 103.5 yards per game. Carolina, meanwhile, ranks No. 25 in rushing offense at home.

In their last action, New Orleans was a 23-10 Sportsbook on the road against the Jaguars. They covered the 9–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (33) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In their last game, New Orleans's aerial attack generated 351 yards and the Saints came away with a 23-10 victory over Jacksonville at EverBank Field.

In their last action, Carolina was a 34-29 loser on the road against the Bears. They covered the 7–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (63) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Cam Newton's 374-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Chicago earned a 34-29 win over Carolina on Sunday at Soldier Field.


New Orleans Saints Trends:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the division are 6-4

Carolina Panthers Trends:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the division are 3-7

A few Saints at Panthers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing Carolina
New Orleans is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games on the road
New Orleans is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Carolina's last 14 games at home
Carolina is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home


Next up:
New Orleans at Tampa Bay, Sunday, October 16
Carolina at Atlanta, Sunday, October 16