The New Orleans Saints will try to get their mojo back at home this Sunday when they host the Kansas City Chiefs at the Superdome.
Week One's loss at home to Washington was New Orleans' first home loss in 10 games; the Saints are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games at home. Kansas City is just 3-8 SU in its last 11 games. The Chiefs are a 9-point road underdog at most online sportsbooks to open the week.
The Saints will be hungry, in an 0-2 hole and facing a season without the playoffs. The Saints have played 7 straight games where at least 60 points was scored in total - yes, all seven played OVER at shops such as GTbets.eu.
The visitors opened as 9.5-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including BetOnline), while the total was hovering around 53 at most shops.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Saints - Chiefs odds would favor the Chiefs if the lines were set according to power ranks. New Orleans is rated No. 29 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Chiefs sit at No. 22. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 23-14 win for the Saints.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New Orleans's No. 6-ranked offense (29.5 PPG) against a Chiefs defense that ranks No. 31 at 37.5 PPG. The Saints passing attack has averaged 324.5 yards per game, more than the Chiefs give up through the air (235 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Chiefs feature the league's No. 28-rated road run defense, allowing 201 yards per game. New Orleans, meanwhile, ranks No. 29 in rushing offense at home.
Kansas City lost its last outing, a 35-17 result against the Bills on September 16. The Chiefs failed to cover in that game as a 3-point underdog, while the 52 combined points took the game OVER the total. Matt Cassel's 301-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Buffalo earned a 35-17 win over Kansas City on Sunday at Ralph Wilson Stadium.
Last time out for New Orleans, they were a 35-27 loser as they battled the Panthers on the road. The Saints failed to cover in the match as a 3-point favorite, while 62 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Drew Brees handled the Panthers defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 325 yards and 1 scores, but New Orleans still lost to Carolina 35-27.
Kansas City Chiefs Trends:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on turf are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6
New Orleans Saints Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 7-3
A few Chiefs at Saints trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kansas City's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
New Orleans is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Kansas City home to San Diego, Sunday, September 30
New Orleans at Green Bay, Sunday, September 30