Chiefs face Titans in Week 5 odds
|Kansas City Chiefs||Tennessee Titans|
The 4-0 Kansas City Chiefs, who have already doubled last year's win total, shoot for a 5-0 start under new head coach Andy Reid when they visit Nashville Sunday to take on the 3-1 Tennessee Titans (1 pm ET, CBS).
As of early this week the Chiefs were favored by a field goal over the Titans, who will probably start Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback in place of the injured Jake Locker.
For NFL totals bettors, seven of the past nine meetings between the Chiefs and Titans have played OVER the total.
The Titans sport records of 3-1 and 3-0-1 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Chiefs sit at 4-0 and 3-1 ATS on the season. The over under records are 2-2 for the Titans and 0-4 for the Chiefs.
Oddsmakers at Bovada had the Titans as 1-point underdogs in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 39.5.
The game pits the Titans, currently No. 22 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Chiefs, who rate No. 25 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 32-25 victory for the Chiefs.
The Chiefs were a 31-7 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Giants. They covered the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (38) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last game, the Titans got 3 passing scores out of Jake Locker en route to a 38-13 win over the Jets on Sunday at LP Field.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Tennessee's No. 13-ranked offense (24.5 PPG) against a Chiefs defense that ranks No. 1 at 10.25 PPG. The Titans passing attack has averaged 193 yards per game, more than the Chiefs give up through the air (188.75 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Chiefs own the league's No. 12-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 101.5 yards per game when on the road. Tennessee, on the other hand, rates No. 13 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Chiefs at Titans trends to consider:
Kansas City is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Kansas City is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Tennessee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Kansas City at Oakland, Sunday, October 13th
Tennessee at Seattle, Sunday, October 13th