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Chiefs huge underdog vs Chargers

Kansas City has been demolished on the field and on the injury list and neither situation appears set to improve in Week 3.

The 0-2 Chiefs, embarrassed by the Bills and Lions, lost their best player Jamaal Charles to an ACL tear, one week after they lost their top defensive player, Eric Berry, to the same injury.

San Diego was unlucky in New England last week but has pulverized KC 74-14 in the past two meetings here.

But beware the Chargers as a big favorite. The past 9 games when they were favored by 9 points or more, not only did they not cover the spread but they the game outright! That's 5-4 SU as a double-digit favorite - a horrible, dangerous number. [ Beware it when you make your bankroll contest picks this week ]

View Kansas City vs San Diego Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Bettors looking to side with the Chargers in this one will find them as 15-point favorites , while the total sits at 44. A full 68% of bettors here are picking the OVER 45.5 (although you can get it as low as 44.5 at Intertops as of Friday afternoon).

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 32-rated Chiefs taking on the No. 20-rated Chargers in this contest. Handicapping models indicate only a 21-15 win for the Chargers on Sunday.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up San Diego's No. 17-ranked offense (22.5 PPG) against a Chiefs defense that ranks No. 32 at 44.5 PPG. The Chargers passing attack has averaged 351 yards per game, more than the Chiefs give up through the air (261.5 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Chiefs feature the league's No. 8-rated road run defense, allowing 89 yards per game. San Diego, meanwhile, ranks No. 23 in rushing offense at home.

Last time out for Kansas City, they were a 48-3 loser as they battled the Lions on the road. The Chiefs failed to cover in the match as a 8-point underdog, while 51 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Kansas City lost its last outing 48-3 against Detroit on Sunday, getting a 101-yard receiving performance from Dwayne Bowe in a losing cause at Ford Field.

The Chargers were a 35-21 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Patriots. They failed to cover the 6.5–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (56) made winners of OVER bettors. Philip Rivers's 378-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as New England earned a 35-21 win over San Diego on Sunday at Gillette Stadium.

Kansas City Chiefs Trends:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 4-6

San Diego Chargers Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the division are 7-3

A few Chiefs at Chargers trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games at home
San Diego is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
San Diego is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Kansas City home to Minnesota, Sunday, October 2
San Diego home to Miami, Sunday, October 2

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