Chiefs vs Chargers Betting Matchup Report
|San Diego Chargers||Kansas City Chiefs|
The Kansas City Chiefs return home looking to shake off their first loss of the season against the San Diego Chargers.
The Chargers have won nine of the last 11 meetings, but are 5-point underdogs Sunday against the Chiefs. San Diego is coming off a disappointing loss the Miami Dolphins and is quickly falling out of the AFC Wild Card race.
Kansas City couldn’t keep up with Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos in a 27-17 Sunday night loss. The Chiefs get another shot at the Broncos on Dec. 1, so Sunday’s game is a definite look-ahead spot.
Kansas City is just 1-7 straight-up and 2-6 against the spread in its last eight division games.
For trends bettors, the OVER is 11-2-1 in the past 14 Chargers games as road dogs, while the UNDER is 7-1-1 past nine KC games as home chalk.
The Chiefs have been money losers within the AFC West, as they are 1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS past eight divisional games.
The Chiefs currently sport a record of 9-1, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 6-4 ATS. The Chargers are 4-6 and 5-4-1 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Chiefs post a 2-8 over under record this season, while the Chargers have gone 4-6 against the number.
Bettors looking to side with the Chiefs in this one found them as -4.5-point favorites earlier in the week at Sportsbook.ag, while the total was sitting at 41.5.
The Chiefs - Chargers odds would favor the Chiefs if the lines were set according to power ranks. Kansas City is rated No. 6 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Chargers sit at No. 13. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 28-20 win for the Chiefs.
San Diego was a 20-16 loser in its last match on the road against the Dolphins. They failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 36 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. In their last game, San Diego got a 127-yard performance from Ryan Mathews, but Miami prevailed 20-16. Last time out, Kansas City got 2 scoring strikes from Alex Smith in a 27-17 loss against Denver.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Kansas City's No. 16-ranked offense (23.2 PPG) against a Chargers defense that ranks No. 11 at 22.2 PPG. The Chiefs passing attack has averaged 198.5 yards per game, less than the Chargers give up through the air (275.5 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Chargers own the league's No. 24-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 127.5 yards per game when on the road. Kansas City, on the other hand, rates No. 14 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Chargers at Chiefs trends to consider:
San Diego is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Diego is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Diego home to Cincinnati, Sunday, December 1st
Kansas City home to Denver, Sunday, December 1st