Cincinnati favored by -2.5 against Baltimore on Sunday
|Cincinnati Bengals||Baltimore Ravens|
Coming off a tough loss at Miami last Thursday night the Cincinnati Bengals will try to get back to their winning ways when they visit Baltimore for an AFC North grudge match with the Ravens Sunday afternoon (1 pm ET, CBS).
Cincy kicked a field goal to take a late 20-17 lead over the Dolphins Thursday night, and looked like it was on its way to a 7-2 start to this season.
But the Bengals allowed Miami to tie the game with 10 seconds left, then lost in overtime on a sack in the end zone.
Still, at 6-3 the Bengals are the only AFC North team above .500. They're also 5-3-1 ATS.
Meanwhile, the defending Super Bowl champs have lost three games in a row, after falling at Cleveland Sunday 24-18.
In the early betting Cincinnati, which has lost four of the last five games in this series, was favored by a point over the Ravens.
Cincy has covered the spread just six times in 22 visits to Baltimore over the years, a horrible money-losing stretch.
Backers of the Ravens have seen them go 3-5 and 3-5 ATS so far this season, while the Bengals are at 6-3 and 5-3-1 ATS. In totals betting, the Bengals are 5-4, while the Ravens are 2-5-1.
The point spread was settled in at 2.5 favoring the host Ravens earlier in the week, according to SportBet. The over under line was hovering around 44.5, with movement expected during the week at Bovada.
The game pits the Ravens, currently No. 13 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Bengals, who rate No. 8 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 25-19 victory for the Bengals.
Cincinnati lost its last outing, a 22-20 result against the Dolphins on October 31. The Bengals failed to cover in that game as a 3-point favorite, while the 42 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Andy Dalton's 338-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Miami earned a 22-20 win over Cincinnati on Thursday at Sun Life Stadium. The Ravens's last action saw them get a 2-TD performance from Joe Flacco, but they were handed a 24-18 loss by Cleveland at FirstEnergy Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Baltimore's No. 21-ranked offense (21 PPG) against a Bengals defense that ranks No. 6 at 18.44 PPG. The Ravens passing attack has averaged 250.75 yards per game, more than the Bengals give up through the air (221.11 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Bengals feature the league's No. 11-rated road run defense, allowing 106.8 yards per game. Baltimore, meanwhile, ranks No. 29 in rushing offense at home.
A few Bengals at Ravens trends to consider:
Cincinnati is 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cincinnati's last 18 games
Cincinnati is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati at Cleveland, Sunday, November 17th
Baltimore at Chicago, Sunday, November 17th