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Cincinnati favored by 7.5 against Cleveland on Sunday

Cleveland BrownsCincinnati Bengals
Nov 27, 1:00 PM | Turf of Paul Brown Stadium

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals Odds

4-6TEAM RECORD6-4

Sometimes divisional rivalries and current trends take a back seat to a simple statistic linked to strength of schedule.

The Cincinnati Bengals have been playing well but lost their last two to powerhouses in Pittsburgh and Baltimore.The Browns have scored a total of 26 points in matches vs the Jaguars and Rams.

This recent form angle has led many to jump on the Bengals at -7.5 and forced up the Week 12 NFL point spread already. We expect this to climb during the week. The Browns are 0-5 ATS within the AFC North lately.

View Cleveland vs Cincinnati Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks have set the Bengals as 7.5-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total is listed at 36.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 9-rated Bengals and the No. 25-rated Browns in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 23-14 win for the Bengals on Sunday.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Cincinnati's No. 12-ranked offense (23.6 PPG) against a Browns defense that ranks No. 7 at 19.3 PPG. The Bengals passing attack has averaged 223.1 yards per game, more than the Browns give up through the air (166.5 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Browns feature the league's No. 32-rated road run defense, allowing 173.8 yards per game. Cincinnati, meanwhile, ranks No. 17 in rushing offense at home.

The Browns were a 14-10 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Jaguars. They covered the 1.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (24) made winners of UNDER bettors. Chris Ogbonnaya ran through the Jacksonville defense for 115 yards in Cleveland's last game, handing the Jaguars a 14-10 setback on Sunday at Cleveland Browns Stadium.

In their last action, Cincinnati was a 31-24 loser on the road against the Ravens. They earned a push of the 7–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (55) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Andy Dalton's 373-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Baltimore earned a 31-24 win over Cincinnati on Sunday at M&T Bank Stadium.

Cleveland Browns Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the division are 2-8

Cincinnati Bengals Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 4-6

A few Browns at Bengals trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Next up:
Cleveland home to Baltimore, Sunday, December 4
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, Sunday, December 4