A small spread could make all the difference this Sunday when the Buffalo Bills visit the Cleveland Browns at Cleveland Browns Stadium Sunday.
Cleveland is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six games despite being 0-6 SU over that stretch. Buffalo is a 3-point road favorite at most online sportsbook despite being 0-8 SU in its last eight games on the road.
UNDER bettors have seen meetings between these teams go their way in ab ig way recently. In fact, three of the past four meetings saw less than 20 points scored! [ See the latest over under values at Sportsbook ]
View Buffalo vs Cleveland Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook had the Browns pegged as 3-point underdogs in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, was listed by books like Sportsbook at 43.5.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Browns - Bills odds would favor the Browns if the lines were set according to power ranks. Cleveland is rated No. 25 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Bills sit at No. 26. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 27-24 win for the Bills.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Cleveland's No. 24-ranked offense (21.5 PPG) against a Bills defense that ranks No. 28 at 32.5 PPG. The Browns passing attack has averaged 210 yards per game, less than the Bills give up through the air (269 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Bills feature the league's No. 19-rated road run defense, allowing 118 yards per game. Cleveland, meanwhile, ranks No. 15 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, Buffalo was a 35-17 Sportsbook at home against the Chiefs. They covered the 3-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (52) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Kansas City was unable to contain C.J. Spiller in its last action Sunday and the result was a 35-17 Week 2 loss against the Bills.
In their last action, Cleveland was a 34-27 loser on the road against the Bengals. They earned a push of the 7-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (61) was profitable news for OVER bettors. In their last game, Cleveland's aerial attack generated 322 yards but it was the Bengals coming away with a 34-27 victory over Cleveland at Paul Brown Stadium.
Buffalo Bills Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5
Cleveland Browns Trends:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 3-7
A few Bills at Browns trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 10 games on the road
Buffalo is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Buffalo is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 14 games
Cleveland is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Next up:
Buffalo home to New England, Sunday, September 30
Cleveland at Baltimore, Thursday, September 27
