Colts vs Browns Betting Preview

Cleveland BrownsIndianapolis Colts
Oct 21, 1:00 PM | Turf of Lucas Oil Stadium

Cleveland Browns vs Indianapolis Colts Odds

1-5TEAM RECORD2-3

The Indianapolis Colts will try to use their home field to their advantage when they host the Cleveland Browns at Lucas Oil Stadium this Sunday. While the Colts have just a 4-18 SU record over their last 22 games, they are a respectable 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games at home including upsets over Minnesota and Green Bay this season.

Cleveland is just 1-11 SU over its last 12 games but a strong 8-3-1 ATS over that stretch. The Browns are 3-0 ATS in their last three games against Indianapolis.

View Cleveland vs Indianapolis Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The point spread was settled in at 3.5 favoring the host Colts earlier in the week, according to Sportsbook.ag. The over under line was hovering around 44.5, with movement expected during the week at Bovada.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
It's a betting matchup between the No. 25-rated Colts and the No. 28-ranked Browns, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 20-16 result in favor of the Browns.

ADVERTISEMENT:

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Indianapolis's No. 21-ranked offense (20 PPG) against a Browns defense that ranks No. 22 at 27.2 PPG. The Colts passing attack has averaged 280.4 yards per game, less than the Browns give up through the air (294.2 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Browns own the league's No. 26-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 141.3 yards per game when on the road. Indianapolis, on the other hand, rates No. 16 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

The Browns were a 34-24 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Bengals. They covered the 1.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (58) made winners of OVER bettors. Brandon Weeden passed for 2 touchdowns in his team's last game in leading the Browns past Cincinnati 34-24 on Sunday.

Indianapolis lost its last outing, a 35-9 result against the Jets on October 14. The Colts failed to cover in that game as a 3.5-point underdog, while the 44 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Cleveland Browns Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the division are 2-8

Indianapolis Colts Trends:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 2-8

A few Browns at Colts trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland's last 18 games
Cleveland is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 9 games

Next up:
Cleveland home to San Diego, Sunday, October 28
Indianapolis at Tennessee, Sunday, October 28