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Cowboys Picked to Beat Bills

Buffalo's fast start has faded to a slow griind and they have another tough road test in Dallas, where they are road underdogs on the Week 10 NFL odds list.

While the Cowboys opened as 5.5-point favorites, many Bills-Cowboys bettors are watching the over under number, which started life around 48 at most online sportsbooks. That's because many reds indicate this could be an OVER bet.

The OVER is 8-2 in the past 10 Buffalo road games and it's also 10-3 in the past 13 Dallas home games. Buffalo has also played 5 straight overs as an NFL dog.

View Buffalo vs Dallas Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Bettors looking to back the visiting Bills in this one will find them as 4.5-point underdogs, while the total sits at 48.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The game pits the Cowboys, currently No. 10 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Bills, who rate No. 11 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 29-24 victory for the Bills.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Dallas's No. 18-ranked offense, averaging 22.4 PPG, against a Bills defense that ranks No. 14 this week at 21.8 PPG. The Cowboys aerial game is averaging 279.5 yards per game, more than the Bills secondary allows through the air, 260.4 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Bills own the league's No. 22-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 133.7 yards per game when on the road. Dallas, on the other hand, rates No. 2 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Buffalo lost its last outing, a 27-11 result against the Jets on November 6. The Bills failed to cover in that game as a 2.5-point favorite, while the 38 combined points took the game UNDER the total. The Bills suffered a Week 9 loss against New York in their last game, falling 27-11 at Ralph Wilson Stadium.

Dallas won its last outing, a 23-13 result against the Seahawks on November 6. The Cowboys failed to cover in that game as a 10.5-point favorite, while the 36 combined points took the game UNDER the total. DeMarco Murray tore up the turf for 139 rushing yards in the latest Cowboys game, a 23-13 win over the Seahawks at Cowboys Stadium.

Buffalo Bills Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 6-4

Dallas Cowboys Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few Bills at Cowboys trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games
Buffalo is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next up:
Buffalo at Miami, Sunday, November 20
Dallas at Washington, Sunday, November 20

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