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There’s Only One Play That Makes Sense for Week 15 TNF

It’s too bad that the Colts and Broncos are playing in a dome on Thursday because the only thing that might make this game more interesting is another blizzard. Both already eliminated from postseason contention, Denver and Indy have combined 2-15 SU and 4-13 ATS records since October 15 – this one wasn’t much fun to handicap.

SHARK BITES
  • The Colts’ last 5 games have gone UNDER the total.
  • Denver ended a 7-game ATS losing streak vs Indianapolis when they played last season.
  • The UNDER is 6-1 in the past 7 games when the Colts are home underdogs.

So, is there a bet that makes sense for this absolute clunker of a prime-time game? I think so, but you’re not going to like it.

Indy opened the contest as a 2.5-point underdog and while that’s not a bad shout, it’s the UNDER that’s calling my name with two of the worst offenses in the NFL going head-to-head on Thursday.

2017 has been anything but a good year for quarterbacks and Trevor Siemian and Jacoby Brissett have been no exceptions – they’ve been total bums. The former has been a frequenter of the soup kitchen when he’s played on the road this season with a 57.8 passer rating away from Mile High. For those who don’t know what that means – it’s really bad.

It’s not much better on the blue side of this matchup of ponies with Brissett sitting just behind Blake Bortles in the rankings for yards per attempt. Indy has averaged just 14 points over its five-game UNDER streak and that’s unlikely to improve against a Broncos’ ball-stopping unit that still does a good job.

A decent opportunity for live-betting, though, that could make this matchup watchable from a really sadistic standpoint is picking some spots to take each team to go three-and-out. TNF could be a punter’s showcase and I’d like to profit from that.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news, check out our new podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check us out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those siding with the visitors in this matchup saw the Denver Broncos listed as 2.5-point favorites at shops such as Bovada. Meanwhile, the OVER/UNDER line for the betting matchup was at 41.5 over at 5Dimes.

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game picked a potential 23-15 result in favor of the Colts. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Indianapolis brings a 3-10 record (6-7 ATS) to the Week 15 betting matchup against the 4-9 Denver Broncos, who are 3-9-1 against the spread. OVER/UNDER betting has seen Indianapolis go 6-7 so far and the Broncos go 7-5-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Indianapolis vs Denver injuries news.

The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 27-rated Broncos taking on the No. 29-rated Colts in this betting contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Indianapolis's No. 27-ranked offense, averaging 17.73 PPG, against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 27 this week at 25.45 PPG. The Colts aerial game is averaging 201.27 yards per game, less than the Broncos secondary allows through the air, 201.91 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Broncos feature the league's No. 16-rated road run defense, allowing 113.33 yards per game. The Colts, meanwhile, rank No. 25 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Denver's defense was dominant last game, shutting out the New York Jets 23-0 in Week 14 action at Sports Authority Field at Mile High on Sunday.

Frank Gore went over the 100-yard mark (130) in his team's latest effort, but Buffalo still defeated Indianapolis by a score of 13-7.

Betting Trends
  • Denver is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Denver is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
  • Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Indianapolis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
  • Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Denver at Washington, Sunday, December 24
Indianapolis at Baltimore, Saturday, December 23

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