Divisional Playoffs Betting Trends
When the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers meet for the third time this season on Saturday, the best bet according to the NFL trends may be to go with the OVER.
The previous two meetings between the Ravens and Steelers this season both fell UNDER the posted total. If the trends hold up, though, that won't be the case this weekend.
The posted total for this game is by far the lowest of the weekend at 36.5 at Bovada. To make a comparison, no other game this weekend has a total below 40. With the No. 1 (Pittsburgh) and No. 3 (Baltimore) scoring defenses facing off, a low total should be expected.
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In Week 4 Baltimore visited Pittsburgh and the 17-14 final score fell UNDER the posted total of 34.5. That's actually a rare occurrence. In the Ravens' last 11 trips to Pittsburgh the OVER is 8-2-1. In the month of January it doesn't matter who the Steelers play at home, though.
In the Steelers' last 12 games at Heinz Field in January the OVER is 12-0. The best Ravens odds currently is +3.5 at 5Dimes.
If you're hoping for the Jets to deliver another SU upset this weekend the trends say you'll be disappointed. There's a good chance the Jets will beat the spread this weekend, but their chances of defeating New England SU don't look good.
At home this season New England was unbeatable at 8-0 SU, but they weren't nearly as good ATS at 4-3-1. In their last 18 home games the Patriots have only one loss while going a more impressive 10-6-1 ATS. However, that ATS record takes another big dive when the Jets visit.
In the Jets' last 15 games at New England they're 7-8 SU and 10-5 ATS. Even though they were crushed 45-3 in their last visit to New England, the Jets look like a solid bet at +8.5 this weekend. Again, the best underdog moneyline available is +340 on the Jets at 5Dimes as of Wednesday.
Last week's big upset special was the Seahawks knocking off the Saints as a 10-point favorite. This weekend Seattle's a big underdog again at +10 at Chicago. Since they're on the road this week, the chances of them delivering another shocking upset don't look very good.
Seattle is a bad road team. This season the Seahawks were 2-6 SU and ATS on the road. In their last 10 away from Seattle the Seahawks are 2-8 SU and ATS, and in their last 20 on the road they are 4-16 SU and 5-15 ATS. Despite last week's upset of the Saints the Seahawks aren't usually big winners as the underdog; in its last 10 as the underdog Seattle is 3-7 SU and ATS.
While the Seahawks' chances of winning look near impossible, covering the spread may not be as hard because the Bears aren't exactly cover fiends when favored. Chicago is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last four games, but in their last nine as the favorite the Bears are 7-2 SU and only 3-5-1 ATS.
In their last 20 as the favorite the Bears are only 9-9-2 ATS. The line opened at +9.5 but is up to +10 at most shops and will probably climb higher at Bovada.