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Dolphins battle Bills in Week 11 odds

Buffalo BillsMiami Dolphins
Nov 20, 1:00 PM | Grass of Sun Life Stadium

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Odds

5-4TEAM RECORD2-7

One team looks to be iimproving while another team looks to be fading after a hot start as the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins clash on the Week 11 NFL odds menu.

The line opened close to a PK, which could indicate an OVER play is coming if the line ends up favoring the hometown Dolphins. The Bills have played 6 straight overs when underdog.

However, a conflicting trend appears when the Dolphins are favored (UNDER is 5-1 past 6). Of note, the Bills are just 4-16 SU past 20 games within the AFC East and the Dolphins are a similarly lame 1-6 ATS past 7 within the division.

View Buffalo vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
If you're siding with the visitors in this one you'll find the Bills listed as 2-point underdogs. Meanwhile, the over under line for the matchup was at 43.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Dolphins at No. 24 and the Bills at No. 20 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 23-20 result in favor of the Bills.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Miami's No. 24-ranked offense (17.6 PPG) against a Bills defense that ranks No. 23 at 24.2 PPG. The Dolphins passing attack has averaged 206.4 yards per game, less than the Bills give up through the air (261.4 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Bills own the league's No. 26-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 141 yards per game when on the road. Miami, on the other hand, rates No. 18 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

In their last action, Buffalo was a 44-7 loser on the road against the Cowboys. They failed to cover the 4.5–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (51) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Fred Jackson went over the 100-yard mark (114) in his team's latest effort, but Dallas still defeated Buffalo by a score of 44-7.

Miami won its last outing, a 20-9 result against the Redskins on November 13. The Dolphins covered in that game as a 4-point favorite, while the 29 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Reggie Bush scored twice in Miami's most recent game, earning a 20-9 win over Washington at Sun Life Stadium.

Buffalo Bills Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 2-8

Miami Dolphins Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the division are 3-7

A few Bills at Dolphins trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 10 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing Buffalo

Next up:
Buffalo at NY Jets, Sunday, November 27
Miami at Dallas, Thursday, November 24

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