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Dolphins battle Bills in Week 16 odds

Buffalo BillsMiami Dolphins
Dec 23, 1:00 PM | Grass of Sun Life Stadium

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Odds

5-9TEAM RECORD6-8

The Miami Dolphins are 6-3 SU and ATS in their last nine games against the Buffalo Bills and will try to improve on those totals when they host their division rival this Sunday at Sun Life Stadium. Buffalo is 2-12 SU and 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in four of Buffalo's last six road games and in four of Miami's last five home games. The total has also gone UNDER in four of the last five games between these two teams.

View Buffalo vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Oddsmakers at Bovada had the Dolphins as 3.5-point favorites in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 41.5.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 24-rated Dolphins and the No. 25-rated Bills in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 21-15 win for the Dolphins on Sunday.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Miami's No. 25-ranked offense, averaging 18.9 PPG, against a Bills defense that ranks No. 31 this week at 28.7 PPG. The Dolphins aerial game is averaging 203.9 yards per game, less than the Bills secondary allows through the air, 225.4 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Bills own the league's No. 27-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 138 yards per game when on the road. Miami, on the other hand, rates No. 5 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Last time out for Buffalo, they were a 50-17 loser as they battled the Seahawks at home. The Bills failed to cover in the match as a 4.5-point underdog, while 67 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. C.J. Spiller went over the 100-yard mark (103) in his team's latest effort, but Seattle still defeated Buffalo by a score of 50-17.

The Dolphins were a 24-3 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Jaguars. They covered the 7.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (27) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last game, Miami got a 104-yard performance from Reggie Bush as a key part of its 24-3 win over Jacksonville.

Buffalo Bills Trends:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 2-8

Miami Dolphins Trends:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 4-6

A few Bills at Dolphins trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games

Next up:
Buffalo home to NY Jets, Sunday, December 30
Miami at New England, Sunday, December 30