Miami won its debut under interim coach Todd Bowles but faces a daunting road challenge at Foxboro where they meet the powerful Patriots on the Week 16 NFL betting menu.
OVER bettors immediately grabbed the Sportsbook total here as the Pats continue to score in bunches and continue to allow big plays on defense. The Dolphins are actually 5-2 ATS in their past 7 trips here to face their AFC East nemesis and they are 4-0 ATS past 4 road games overall.
New England has won 18 straight December home games SU dating to 2002 and they opened as 11-point home chalk. But Miami is 13-3 ATS in their past 16 games as a dog of 9 or more points. [ Best underdog line on Miami, check out Sportsbook ]
View Miami vs New England Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
Oddsmakers opened the Patriots as 10.5-point favorites in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 48.5 at Sportsbook.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Patriots sit at No. 12 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Dolphins are at No. 16 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Patriots will win this game 33-24.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New England's No. 3-ranked offense (31.2 PPG) against a Dolphins defense that ranks No. 5 at 19.2 PPG. The Patriots passing attack has averaged 318.6 yards per game, more than the Dolphins give up through the air (247.6 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Dolphins own the league's No. 2-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 94.6 yards per game when on the road. New England, on the other hand, rates No. 21 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
The Dolphins were a 30-23 Sportsbook in their most recent outing on the road against the Bills. They covered the 1–point spread as favorites, while the total score (53) made Sportsbooks of OVER bettors. In their last game, Miami got a 203-yard performance from Reggie Bush as a key part of its 30-23 win over Buffalo.
New England was a 41-23 Sportsbook in its last match on the road against the Broncos. They covered the 7–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 64 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Tom Brady throttled the Broncos defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 320 yards and 2 scores as New England handed Denver a 41-23 defeat.
Miami Dolphins Trends:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 4-6
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in December are 10-0
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the division are 8-2
A few Dolphins at Patriots trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami's last 13 games
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New England is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Next up:
Miami home to NY Jets, Sunday, January 1
New England home to Buffalo, Sunday, January 1
