Two teams headed in opposite directions collide Thursday, when the surging Cincinnati Bengals roll into Miami to face the reeling Dolphins.
The Bengals, Sportsbooks of four straight, began the week as 2-point favorites over a Miami team that has dropped four straight. Cincinnati blew out the New York Jets last week in QB Andy Dalton’s most impressive performance of the season. The Bengals rank in the top 10 of the NFL in passing yards and rushing defense. They’re 11th in pass defense.
The Dolphins blew a 17-0 lead in last week’s loss to the New England Patriots. Miami is 3-6-1 against the spread as a home underdog since 2010, but has covered the number in nine of the last 12 meetings with Cincinnati.
Miami is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati. In those 12 games since 1980, Cincinnati is just 3-9 ATS, according to the NFL database.
The Dolphins are 3-4 so far on the season, and 3-4 ATS vs. the number. The Bengals, meanwhile, are 6-2 and 5-2-1 ATS. Over under bettors have seen Miami go 5-2 and the Bengals go 5-3 on the totals.
View Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins Odds and Stats.
Sportsbooks, including Sportsbook, had set the Dolphins as -1-point favorites on the Sportsbook line for this contest. The total was hovering around 42.5 earlier in the week at Sportsbook.
The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 6-rated Bengals taking on the No. 18-rated Dolphins in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 27-18 win for the Bengals on Thursday.
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Last time out for Cincinnati, they were a 49-9 Sportsbook as they battled the Jets at home. The Bengals covered in the match as a 6-point favorite, while 58 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Ryan Tannehill passed for 2 touchdowns in his team's last game, but it wasn't enough to overcome the Patriots, who won 27-17 on Sunday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Miami's No. 20-ranked offense (21.71 PPG) against a Bengals defense that ranks No. 5 at 18 PPG. The Dolphins passing attack has averaged 221.86 yards per game, less than the Bengals give up through the air (225.25 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Bengals feature the league's No. 8-rated road run defense, allowing 94.25 yards per game. Miami, meanwhile, ranks No. 28 in rushing offense at home.
A few Bengals at Dolphins trends to consider:
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Next up:
Cincinnati at Baltimore, Sunday, November 10th
Miami at Tampa Bay, Monday, November 11th
