Chiefs Host Dolphins in Week 9 Betting
Miami lost again in Week 8 to fall to 0-7 but the Dolphins played much better and are a serious threat to win here at Kansas City.
Historically, they have done well against the Chiefs, going 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine on the NFL spread vs KC, but they have been a toothless underdog lately as well, going 1-6 ATS in seven games. The Chiefs will play on a short week after their Monday Night match against the Chargers.
Of note, the past four meetings here in KC since 1989, all went OVER the NFL total. This is significant as Miami has played UNDER the number 10 times in their past 12 road games.
Sportsbooks have set the Chiefs as 5-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total is listed at 39.5 but check the current number at TopBet while pocketing a 50% signup bonus Sunday.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Chiefs - Dolphins odds would favor the Dolphins if the lines were set according to power ranks. Kansas City is rated No. 28 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Dolphins sit at No. 27. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 14-12 win for the Chiefs.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Kansas City's No. 25-ranked offense (18.3 PPG) against a Dolphins defense that ranks No. 23 at 23.7 PPG. The Chiefs passing attack has averaged 184.1 yards per game, less than the Dolphins give up through the air (270.7 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Dolphins feature the league's No. 3-rated road run defense, allowing 87 yards per game. Kansas City, meanwhile, ranks No. 25 in rushing offense at home.
Miami lost its last outing, a 20-17 result against the Giants on October 30. The Dolphins covered in that game as a 10-point underdog, while the 37 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Reggie Bush went over the 100-yard mark (103) in his team's latest effort, but New York still defeated Miami by a score of 20-17.
Last time out for Kansas City, they were a 23-20 winner as they battled the Chargers at home. The Chiefs covered in the match as a 3-point underdog, while 43 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Chiefs grabbed a Week 8 victory over the Chargers in their last game, winning 23-20 at Arrowhead Stadium.
Miami Dolphins Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 1-9
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 2-8
Kansas City Chiefs Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 7-3
A few Dolphins at Chiefs trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Kansas City
Miami is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
Miami home to Washington, Sunday, November 13
Kansas City home to Denver, Sunday, November 13