In three of their past four visits to Miami, New England has put up 40 or more points, leading many NFL bettors to think OVER in this Monday Nighter, even at a Week 1 high of 45.5, might be a good play.
The Patriot juggernaut stalled in the final weeks of the preseason but Dolphin incompetence in Week 1 historically (they are 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven 7 years) may encourage wagers on the Patriots Dolphins point spread as well. Add this stat - Miami is 0-7 ATS past 7 home games in September - and you have Patriot backers salivating here.
The Pats were dominant in the forst two weeks of the preseason, then faltered the final two. It hasn't stopped bettors from backing them heavily in this one [ check live NFL betting and wager during the game at Sportsbook while you pocket a 50% free play bonus ]
View New England vs Miami Odds and Stats.
Betting Line: Oddsmakers opened the Dolphins as 4-point underdogs in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 46.
Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 15 (Dolphins) and the No. 9 (Patriots) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 35-19 result in favor of the Patriots is predicted by handicapping models.
How many passing yards will Tom Brady have? How many rushing yards will Reggie Bush have in his Miami debut? Player prop odds on this game and every other and a 100% bonus as well - visit Sportsbook.
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the division are 7-3
Miami Dolphins Trends:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 4-6
A few Patriots at Dolphins trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New England's last 11 games
New England is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Miami's last 16 games at home
Miami is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing New England
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England
Next up:
New England home to San Diego, Sunday, September 18
Miami home to Houston, Sunday, September 18
