Atlanta's second-half implosion against the Packers didn't amuse oddsmakers, who left them as small 4-point home chalk against the visiting Panthers on the Week 6 NFL odds menu.
But despite Carolina's improvements, they are a pathetic 3-10-2 ATS in 15 recent trips to Atlanta, meaning they have covered the spread there 3 times in 15 seasons.
The Panthers nearly defeated New Orleans while the Falcons looked good for a quarter in building a 14-0 lead on the Packers, then didn't score again in losing 25-14. Carolina has lost 13 in a row as an underdog, but covered the past three spreads.
Bettors looking to back the visiting Panthers in this one will find them as 5.5-point underdogs, while the total sits at 51 (with the best under price at TopBet). The best Atlanta line was at while the best dog number on Carolina on Friday was at 5Dimes.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Falcons - Panthers odds would favor the Panthers if the lines were set according to power ranks. Atlanta is rated No. 22 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Panthers sit at No. 15. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 21-19 win for the Panthers.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Atlanta's No. 21-ranked offense (20.8 PPG) against a Panthers defense that ranks No. 26 at 26.4 PPG. The Falcons passing attack has averaged 239.6 yards per game, more than the Panthers give up through the air (231 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Panthers feature the league's No. 29-rated road run defense, allowing 161.5 yards per game. Atlanta, meanwhile, ranks No. 18 in rushing offense at home.
Carolina lost its last outing, a 30-27 result against the Saints on October 9. The Panthers covered in that game as a 6.5-point underdog, while the 57 combined points took the game OVER the total. Last time we saw the Panthers, they had no answer for $WinningRB as the Saints rolled to a 30-27 victory at Bank of America Stadium.
In their last action, Atlanta was a 25-14 loser at home against the Packers. They failed to cover the 6–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (39) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. The Falcons suffered a Week 5 loss against Green Bay in their last game, falling 25-14 at Georgia Dome.
Carolina Panthers Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 1-9
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing within the division are 3-7
Atlanta Falcons Trends:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 7-3
A few Panthers at Falcons trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Atlanta is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home
Atlanta is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Carolina
Atlanta is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Carolina home to Washington, Sunday, October 23
Atlanta at Detroit, Sunday, October 23