Jags vs Falcons Thursday Pick
The Jaguars and Falcons have played four times in their history and every game played UNDER the NFL betting total.
So as Jacksonville visits Atlanta on the Week 15 odds menu, can bettors expect a low-scoring game in the Thursday night NFL battle? The Jags have struggled on the road, but have been a consistent UNDER bet (6 in a row).
The Falcons meanwhile have played 10 UNDERs in their past 12 home games.
Oddsmakers opened the Falcons as 10.5-point favorites in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 42.5. The line has moved at Bovada and may be the best spot to bet the Jags.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 16-rated Jaguars taking on the No. 7-rated Falcons in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 22-15 win for the Falcons on Thursday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Atlanta's No. 14-ranked offense (23.1 PPG) against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 7 at 19.4 PPG. The Falcons passing attack has averaged 254.2 yards per game, more than the Jaguars give up through the air (190.8 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Jaguars own the league's No. 23-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 130.2 yards per game when on the road. Atlanta, on the other hand, rates No. 12 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
The Jaguars were a 41-14 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Buccaneers. They covered the 2.5–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (55) made winners of OVER bettors.
Atlanta was a 31-23 winner in its last match on the road against the Panthers. They covered the 3–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 54 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Atlanta comes off a game where it received a 4-TD performance from Matt Ryan in defeating the Panthers 31-23.
Jacksonville Jaguars Trends:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 2-8
Atlanta Falcons Trends:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing outside the division are 6-4
A few Jaguars at Falcons trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Jacksonville's last 13 games
Jacksonville is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
Jacksonville is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Atlanta is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Jacksonville at Tennessee, Saturday, December 24
Atlanta at New Orleans, Monday, December 26