Falcons vs Chiefs Week 1 Pick

The Kansas City Chiefs host the Atlanta Falcons, a team that struggled on the road in season openers, Sunday afternoon at Arrowhead Stadium.

Matt Ryan leads what should be a high-powered offense into Arrowhead as the Falcons look to take advantage of New Orleans’ suspensions and win the NFC South. But the Falcons are just 1-4 ATS past 5 season openers on the road.

Atlanta is a slight 2-point road favorite at Sportsbook.ag, a fact that plays into a Kansas City trend. The Chiefs are 9-2 ATS in their past 11 games as an underdog.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kansas City’s last 11 games and in nine of Atlanta’s last 13.

View Atlanta vs Kansas City Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The Falcons were listed as 1-point favorites at sportsbooks such as Bovada (offering a 100% bonus), with the total listed at 41.5 at TopBet.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Chiefs sit at No. 24 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Falcons are at No. 7 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Falcons will win this game 24-12.

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Atlanta Falcons Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing outside the division are 7-3

Kansas City Chiefs Trends:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 4-6

 

A few Falcons at Chiefs trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 13 games
Atlanta is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kansas City's last 11 games
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Atlanta

Next up:
Atlanta home to Denver, Monday, September 17
Kansas City at Buffalo, Sunday, September 16

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