Favorites Finally Flourish in Week 6 NFL
Hey look, a pig just flew by! Apparently pigs can fly, because a Sunday of NFL football action actually saw some favorites win and cover the spread for a change this weekend.
Favorites went 6-6-1 ATS and 10-3 SU, with the New York Giants -10.0, Houston -4.5, and Indianapolis -3.5 being the three favorites to win but fail to cover this Sunday. Underdogs had been on a 29-15 ATS run over the last three weeks, but their loud howling was finally cut back to a manageable bark this week.
Double-digit favorites went 1-1 this week with Pittsburgh winning and covering as 14-point favorites in their 28-10 win over Cleveland and the New York Giants failing to cover as 10-point favorites in their 28-20 home win over Detroit.
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It didn’t look like Pittsburgh would cover up 21-10 and needing only a first down to lock up the game with under two minutes left, but Ben Roethlisberger hooked up with Heath Miller to cover the spread and put the game over the 37-point total. The Pittsburgh win was one of only three games this week decided by more than an eight-point margin.
Philadelphia covered as a 1.5-point favorite in a 31-17 win at home over Atlanta in a game many were expecting to be a lot closer. New Orleans also finally broke their long ATS drought, leaving no doubt as 5.5-point favorites in a 31-6 win at Tampa Bay. Philadelphia’s win went over the posted total of 43 while New Orleans’ stayed under the total of 44 points.
Not all dogs went quietly Sunday as three came away with outright upset wins. Miami came off their bye week strong with a win as a 3-point underdog in Green Bay. Seattle ruined Jay Cutler’s return to Chicago in a road upset as 6-point underdogs. And the biggest upset of the day came in St. Louis, where the Rams beat San Diego outright as 8.5-point underdogs.
For the second straight week, the Over went 8-5 in Over/Under wagering. Scoring was plentiful on Sunday as nine of the 13 games had over 40 total points of scoring.
On the four games that stayed under 40 points, the Under was 3-1. The one game that went over was the Cleveland at Pittsburgh game, which went one point over the 37-point total.
In the nine games that had over 40 points of scoring, the Over was 7-2. New England’s 23-20 win over Baltimore (which resulted in the one ATS push of the week at New England -3.0) stayed under the total of 44.5, while Miami’s 23-20 upset win over Green Bay stayed under the total of 44, resulting in the two Unders in games with over 40 points scored.