NFC Conference Odds: Giants vs 49ers
The New York Giants lost here in November but had been 4-0 ATS in four previous visits to face the San Francisco 49ers.
Their strong recent play and that history of west-coast wins has the Giants as just 2.5-point opening line underdogs on the NFC conference final odds menu. They finished the year on a 6-2 ATS run in road games and will need that trend to continue against a team that has been a point-spread covering machine at home. [ Best 49ers home spread? -1.5, -110 at TopBet earlier Sunday while the best Giants line was +3 at Bovada ]
The 49ers upset the New Orleans Saints in the divisional playoff, scoring late in a see-saw battle. They are now 10-0-1 ATS in their past 11 home games, although they are just 1-3 ATS in their past four games as a favorite.
The Giants meanwhile are 4-0 ATS in their past 4 games as an NFL underdog, traditionally a spot you find the best dog lines is at Bovada.
Of note, the OVER is 10-2 in the past 12 conference title games, indicating the offenses pull out all the stops with a trip to Super Bowl 46 on the line.
On the opening line for this matchup the 49ers sat as 2-point favorites at shops such as TopBet. The total, meanwhile, was pegged by the oddsmakers at BetOnline at 44. Watch for NFC Conference championship game line moves during the week.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 4 (49ers) and the No. 23 (Giants) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 31-22 result in favor of the 49ers is predicted by handicapping models.
New York Giants vs San Francisco 49ers Props, coourtesy of Bovada:
Total Passing Yards – Eli Manning (NEW YORK GIANTS)
Total TD Passes – Eli Manning (NEW YORK GIANTS)
Over 2 (-135)
Under 2 (+105)
Total Interceptions – Eli Manning (NEW YORK GIANTS)
Over ½ (-250)
Under ½ (+195)
Total Receiving Yards – Hakeem Nicks (NEW YORK GIANTS)
Total Receiving Yards – Victor Cruz (NEW YORK GIANTS)
Total Tackles & Assists – Jason Pierre-Paul (NEW YORK GIANTS)
Total Passing Yards – Alex Smith (SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS)
Total Rushing Yards – Frank Gore (SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS)
Total Receiving Yards – Michael Crabtree (SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS)
Total Receiving Yards – Vernon Davis (SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS)
Total Receptions – Vernon Davis (SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS)
Will Vernon Davis (SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS) score a TD in the game?
Total Tackles & Assists – NaVorro Bowman (SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS)
Will the Giants score a Rushing TD in the game?
Who will have more turnovers in the game?
New England York Giants -175
San Francisco49ers +145
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up San Francisco's No. 11-ranked offense (23.8 PPG) against a Giants defense that ranks No. 25 at 25 PPG. The 49ers passing attack has averaged 183.1 yards per game, less than the Giants give up through the air (255.1 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Giants feature the league's No. 21-rated road run defense, allowing 129.9 yards per game. San Francisco, meanwhile, ranks No. 13 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, New York was a 37-20 winner on the road against the Packers. They covered the 8.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (57) was profitable news for OVER bettors. New York comes off a game where it received a 3-TD performance from Eli Manning in defeating the Packers 37-20.
The 49ers were a 36-32 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Saints. They covered the 3.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (68) made winners of OVER bettors. San Francisco comes off a game where it received a 3-TD performance from Alex Smith in defeating the Saints 36-32.
New York Giants Trends:
When playing in January are 7-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 6-4
San Francisco 49ers Trends:
When playing in January are 7-3
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 9-1
A few Giants at 49ers trends to consider:
NY Giants are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games on the road
NY Giants are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
San Francisco is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing NY Giants