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Green Bay Packers 2010 Odds

After an 11-win season in 2009, the Green Bay Packers have been a fashionable Super Bowl pick heading into 2010, but they have plenty of hurdles to clear and their season win total odds show that the public has concerns.

The sportsbooks obviously agree as well - Bovada is giving Green Bay +1000 Super Bowl odds - but the Packers are anything but a lock. The Vikings won the division last year and former hero/current arch-nemesis Brett Favre is back for another tour of duty. Moreover, there are slowly-forming holes on the defense. So what to make of this year’s Green Bay Packers odds? Green Bay Odds to Division: +110 Green Bay Regular Season Win Total: 9.5 (OV -175, UN +145) Green Bay Super Bowl Odds: +1000 After hiring Dom Capers and switching to a 3-4, the Pack surprised just about everyone last year by finishing second in total defense and seventh in points allowed. Perhaps most impressively, the Packers rocketed to first in rush defense after placing just 26th the year before.

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And therein lies the question - can Green Bay do it again, or was it a fluke? Losing Johnny Jolly to suspension for the entire year certainly won’t help; he was a key member of the line rotation, which suddenly looks thin. The secondary isn’t exactly brimming with talent, either. Reigning Defensive Player of the Year Charles Woodson can be counted on-though some natural regression due to his age would not be surprising-but after that, things get dicey. Al Harris will be on the PUP till midseason, though he didn’t contribute much last year after injuring his knee.

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Tramon Williams will start opposite Woodson and he was serviceable last season. If there are any injuries in the secondary, however, this unit will collapse fast. Either way, the Packers will rely on their pass rush to carry the load; Clay Matthews had 10 sacks as a rookie last year. What Green Bay lacks on “D” it more than makes up for on offense. Aaron Rodgers might be the most successful example of a quarterback replacing a “legend” since Steve Young took the reigns from Joe Montana. Rodgers has surpassed 4,000 yards passing in each of the last two years while tossing 58 scores and just 20 picks in the same span. The star quarterback has no shortage of weapons to utilize. Green Bay’s receiving corps of Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, James Jones, and Jordy Nelson is one of the deepest in the NFL. Perhaps more importantly, there’s Jermichael Finley. Finley is an athletic freak and he led all Packers receivers in catches over the second half of last year. It wouldn’t at all be surprising to see him put up Tony Gonzalez-type numbers. The offense will deliver the goods in 2010; can Green Bay’s defense play at the same level, if not similar, to last season? If it can, then the Packers’ Super Bowl hype is warranted.