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Packers are a Poor Bet as Underdogs

Aaron Rodgers Packers

In what could be the game of the week, the Arizona Cardinals, owners of eight straight wins, host the NFC North leading Green Bay Packers. As hot as the Cards have been, they’ve been failing to cover spreads at home, going 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. Their last two home wins have come by just three points each.

Shark Bites
  • Cardinals safety Tyrann Mathieu (torn ACL) will miss the remainder of the season.
  • The Cardinals are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games at home.
  • The Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games after an ATS win.

The Green Bay Packers have been hard to figure out this season, but with the playoffs only a few weeks away, they appear to be rolling at the right time after three straight wins. They haven’t been underdogs often in recent years, but when they have been they haven’t responded well, going 2-12 SU and 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games as underdogs. They opened as 4.5 point dogs in this one.

The game opened with a total on the high side at 49.5. Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER in eight of their last 11 games, while the Cardinals have gone UNDER in three of their last four games.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks, including Bovada, had set the Arizona Cardinals as -4-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total was hovering around 49.5 earlier in the week (check for the current over-under lines at MyBookie).

Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 29-19 victory for the Cardinals. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Green Bay Packers will try to spoil to the party on Sunday; they are 9-5 ATS against the spread this season, while the Arizona Cardinals are 8-6 ATS. Green Bay is 5-9 on the over under betting totals; Arizona is 9-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Arizona vs Green Bay injuries news.

It's a betting matchup between the No. 4-rated Arizona Cardinals and the No. 10-ranked Green Bay Packers, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Arizona Cardinals No. 2-ranked offense (31.79 PPG) against a Green Bay Packers defense that ranks No. 5 at 18.93 PPG. The Cardinals passing attack has averaged 296.5 yards per game, more than the Packers give up through the air (235.07 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Green Bay Packers own the league's No. 22-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 124.43 yards per game when on the road. Arizona, on the other hand, rates No. 16 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Packers grabbed a Week 15 victory over the Raiders in their last game, winning 30-20 at O.co Coliseum.

David Johnson sliced and diced the Philadelphia defense for 3 touchdowns as the Arizona won their last game, handling the Eagles 40-17 at Lincoln Financial Field.

Betting Trends
  • Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Green Bay's last 11 games
  • Green Bay is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 15 games
  • Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • Arizona is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Green Bay home to Minnesota, Sunday, January 3rd
Arizona home to Seattle, Sunday, January 3rd

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