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Week 15 Betting Line Favors the Green Bay Packers over the Buffalo Bills

Green Bay Packers

vs

Buffalo Bills
Sunday, December 14, 2014 1:00 PM ET
Ralph Wilson Stadium

 

The 7-6 Bills' playoff hopes took a hit last weekend following a 24-17 loss to Denver.

The loss ended the Bills' brief two-game win streak, but after covering as nine-point underdogs extended their ATS win streak to three games. Unlike the Packers, Bills games have been low-scoring affairs with the UNDER prevailing in their last five, while going 11-2 on the season.

The 10-3 Packers will be gunning for a sixth straight SU win when they visit Buffalo. However, the Packers failed to cover for the third time this season when favored by a touchdown or more in their 43-37 win over Atlanta on Monday night, and are just 3-3 ATS in their last six, while the OVER has gone 10-4 in Packers games this season.

A concern for Green Bay is they rank dead last in stopping the run on the road. But is their offense too powerful for a soft run defense to matter?

Green Bay Packers vs Buffalo Bills Opening Odds and Betting Line

The Green Bay Packers betting odds line opened as -6-point favorites in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at Odds Shark (including Bovada), but was down to 4.5 points by Friday. Meanwhile the total was climbing above 50 at most shops, including BetOnline.

Computer Prediction: Green Bay Packers vs Buffalo Bills Pick

Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 40-28 victory for the Packers. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Green Bay Packers vs Buffalo Bills Odds and Stats.

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Buffalo Bills sport a record of 7-6 and 7-6 ATS heading into this betting matchup, while the Green Bay Packers sit at 10-3 and 7-5-1 ATS on the season. The over under totals records are 2-11 for the Bills and 10-3 for the Packers. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Buffalo vs Green Bay injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Buffalo Bills rated this week at No. 10 and the Green Bay Packers sitting at No. 2.

How Green Bay Packers vs Buffalo Bills Stats Matchup

The game also pits Buffalo's No. 20-ranked offense, averaging 21.62 PPG, against a Packers defense that ranks No. 18 this week at 23.38 PPG. The Bills aerial game is averaging 230.92 yards per game, less than the Packers secondary allows through the air, 245.23 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Green Bay Packers feature the league's No. 32-rated road run defense, allowing 162.33 yards per game. The Buffalo Bills, meanwhile, ranks No. 20 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Green Bay comes off a game where it received a 3-TD performance from Aaron Rodgers in defeating the Falcons 43-37.

 

Kyle Orton handled the Broncos defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 355 yards and 1 scores, but Buffalo still lost to Denver 24-17.

Green Bay Packers vs Buffalo Bills Betting Odds Trends

Green Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Green Bay's last 10 games
Green Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Green Bay at Tampa Bay, Sunday, December 21st
Buffalo at Oakland, Sunday, December 21st

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