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Packers Look to Continue Incredible Surge in Dallas

The Packers have basically been playing in must-win games since the end of November. That’s what happens when you start 4-6, but Green Bay has bounced back from that ugly 10-week stretch in a big way by putting together seven straight victories. Looking to squash their win streak and end their season are the Dallas Cowboys, who are on a nice run of their own as they’ve won seven straight games at home.

Shark Bites
  • The Cowboys are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in their last four games in the divisional round.
  • The Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games in the playoffs as road underdogs.
  • The Packers are 7-2 SU in their last nine games after losing the previous game in a matchup.

Leading the Pack on their epic stretch run has been, big shock, Aaron Rodgers. Over his last eight games, he’s gone off for 22 TDs and ZERO INTs, with five games of 300 or more yards. He also has a nice stat line in six career divisional round games — 12 TDs, three picks. This includes a win over Dallas in the divisional round two years ago when he threw for 316 yards and three TDs. It looks extremely likely, however, that he’ll be without his top target, Jordy Nelson, who fractured his ribs vs the Giants.

Dallas’ greatest strength is clearly its running game, which was on full display in its Week 6 win in Green Bay. Ezekiel Elliott went off for 157 yards, averaging 5.6 yards per carry. It was clearly an off-day for the Packers, as Green Bay was actually one of eight teams in the NFL to allow less than 94 rushing yards per game. The Packers D has gone four straight games without allowing 100 rushing yards and if they can limit Elliott’s production, they’ll be in an excellent position to win.

Slowing the Dallas run would force Dak Prescott to throw more and this is where it gets interesting. There were just four games this season where Prescott had a QB rating below 100. In each of those games he had 36 or more pass attempts and Dallas went on to lose two of the games. Dallas won each of the games where Prescott had a QB rating above 100, but the QB averaged 10 fewer pass attempts in those games. So in other words, Dallas isn’t at its best when Prescott is forced to throw.

If you’re still on the fence, there’s an interesting historic trend that might push you toward the Cowboys. Since 1983, these teams have played 13 times in Dallas. Green Bay went just 2-11 SU in those games, and covered the spread just three times.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans looking to back the visiting Green Bay Packers in this one found them as 4-point underdogs earlier in the week, while the total was settling in the neighborhood of 51 at shops such as Bovada.

Odds Shark analytical formulas picked a 29-18 win for the Cowboys on Sunday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Dallas bring a 13-3 record (10-5-1 ATS) to the Divisional Playoff betting matchup against the 11-6 Green Bay Packers, who are 9-7-1 ATS against the spread. Over under betting has seen Dallas go 6-10 so far and the Packers go 11-6. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Dallas vs Green Bay injuries news.

The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Dallas Cowboys at No. 6 and the Green Bay Packers at No. 11 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Dallas Cowboys No. 5-ranked offense (26.31 PPG) against a Green Bay Packers defense that ranks No. 16 at 23.59 PPG. The Cowboys passing attack has averaged 226.94 yards per game, less than the Packers give up through the air (270.18 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Green Bay Packers feature the league's No. 6-rated road run defense, allowing 91.63 yards per game. The Dallas Cowboys, meanwhile, ranks No. 2 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Last time out, Aaron Rodgers threw for 4 scores and 362 yards in leading his team past New York at Lambeau Field.

The Cowboys suffered a Week 17 loss against Philadelphia in their last game, falling 27-13 at Lincoln Financial Field.

Betting Trends
  • Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games on the road
  • Dallas is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
  • Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Dallas is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games

Next Betting Matchups

Green Bay home to , Wednesday, December 31st
Dallas home to , Wednesday, December 31st

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