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Loss of Garoppolo Unlikely to Matter vs Texans

New England’s quarterback situation has gone from interesting to very interesting with the shoulder injury to Jimmy Garoppolo heading into Thursday Night Football and the question is this – does it really matter who starts under center for the Patriots?

SHARK BITES
  • The Patriots are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as home underdogs.
  • The Texans are 2-5 SU and ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 2.5 or less.
  • The Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against the Patriots.

The fact is, even without Tom Brady – or Garoppolo, for that matter – the Patriots are a really good football organization. They are 13-5 (62 per cent win rate) in their last 18 games without Brady compared to a 72.7 winning percentage with Brady in the lineup. In Matt Cassel’s last start for the Patriots, a 13-0 win against the Bills, he threw the ball just eight times while Sammy Morris and LaMont Jordan combined for 44 carries – Bill Belichick is an expert at adapting to the hand he is dealt.

All that said, the second half of the Pats’ game against the Dolphins on Sunday, in which they let Miami back into a contest they were once winning 24-0, was incredibly confusing. Up to that point, New England had been dominant and even took down a Cardinals’ team that many have as a Super Bowl contender this year.

The Texans have opened their season 2-0 and will be coming into Gillette with a defense that has allowed just 26 total points and 274.5 total offensive yards per game. New England’s defense looked vulnerable through the air against a pretty inept Dolphins’ offense so that could spell big days for the likes of DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller.

Houston opened as a 2.5-point favorite and that points toward success. In their last 10 games as a road favorite, the Texans are 8-2 SU and 6-3-1 OVER/UNDER. They are also 6-0 against rookie quarterbacks since Bill O’Brien took over head coaching duties. Keep in mind, though, those six wins came against the 2014 Jaguars (twice), the 2014 Raiders, the 2015 Buccaneers and the 2015 3-13 Tennessee Titans (twice) – those teams had a combined record of 15-49.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Odds at sportsbooks such as Bovada had the New England Patriots pegged as 2-point underdogs in this betting matchup. The total, meanwhile, was listed by books like TopBet at 41.

Odds Shark prediction models pick the Patriots to win this game on Thursday 22-21. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The New England Patriots sport a record of 2-0 and 2-0 ATS heading into this betting matchup, while the Houston Texans sit at 2-0 and 2-0 ATS on the season. The over under totals records are 1-0-1 for the Patriots and 0-2 for the Texans. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New England vs Houston injuries news.

The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the New England Patriots at No. 11 and the Houston Texans at No. 6 heading into this contest.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

DeAndre Hopkins was good for 113 receiving yards in the Texans's most recent action, helping his team to a 19-12 victory over the Chiefs.

Jimmy Garoppolo dusted the Dolphins secondary for 3 TDs last time out as the Patriots defeated Miami 31-24 at Gillette Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
  • Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • New England is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
  • New England is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
  • New England is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Houston home to Tennessee, Sunday, October 2nd
New England home to Buffalo, Sunday, October 2nd

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