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Huge Week 3 NFL Betting Trends

The trends are so one-sided in Week 3 that oddsmakers had to post huge spreads and do other strange things, like make the Detroit Lions road favorites.

15-0 SU. That’s the Patriots' streak against the Bills. They’re also 10-1 SU in their past 11 trips to Ralph Wilson Stadium and dominate them against the spread for good measure. Result? New England -9 against a 2-0 Bills team that has scored 79 points in two games.

16-1 SU. That’s the Vikings' streak in their past 17 home games against the Lions. But 2-0 Detroit turned the tables on their hosts this time, opening as 4-point road chalk. For betting fans, this is just the fourth time since 2005 that the Lions have been favored on the road. And in keeping with Lion tradition, they lost the other three.

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1-11 ATS. That’s Cincinnati’s record the past 12 times they have been favored, which they are against the 49ers Sunday. Think it’s any different at home for Cincy? A bit. They are 2-12 ATS the last 14 home games as chalk.

0-8 SU, 1-7 ATS. That’s the Cardinals in their past eight road games. They are favored by 3 points at Seattle and that’s another ugly trend – they are 2-8 ATS the past 10 times in that role.

18-1 SU. That was Indianapolis’ streak against AFC North teams before last week’s loss to the Browns. As everyone knows, the Colts are not the same minus Peyton Manning, which accounts for the huge 11-point road spread for the Steelers.

NFL trends are tricky numbers. Naysayers hate them and say it’s just a historical fluke. Believers follow them and scratch beneath the surface to see what merit lies under them. Others don’t take any chance, backing off a bet if there is a whopping trend working against their team.

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New England -9 at Buffalo + 9 - see all the matchup reports and live NFL odds

Lost 15 straight SU vs Patriots
0-6-1 ATS past 7 at home vs Patriots
Pats are 10-1 SU and 8-2-1 ATS the past 11 at Buffalo

New York Giants OFF at Philadelphia OFF

0-6 SU & ATS past 6 vs Eagles
OVER is 8-2 past 10 September road games
OVER is 10-3 past 13 Giant games within NFC East

Jacksonville +3.5 at Carolina -3.5

Home team has covered 3 of 4 meetings and Jaguars are 3-1 ATS
Carolina has lost 11 of 12 SU
7 of the past 10 Jaguars road games have gone OVER

San Francisco +1 at Cincinnati -1

49ers 2-9 SU in 11 meetings since 1980
Bengals 5-1-1 ATS past 7 vs SF
Home team won past four meetings since 1996
Bengals 1-11 ATS past 12 times as fave, 2-12 ATS past 14 as home chalk
49ers lost 16 of past 20 SU when underdog

Miami +2.5 at Cleveland -2.5

Dolphins 0-4 ATS lifetime vs Browns
Browns 0-5 ATS past 5 home games
Dolphins 11-3 ATS past 14 road games

Detroit -4 at Minnesota +4

Lions only road chalk three times since 2005
Past 6 meetings played UNDER total
Vikings 16-1 SU past 17 at home to Detroit
Vikes just 2-7 ATS past 9 as dog and 0-4 ATS past 4 as home dog

Houston +5.5 at New Orleans -5.5

Texans lost 6 in a row as underdog, 1-5 ATS

Denver +4.5 at Tennessee -4.5

3-0 ATS in meetings with Titans since 2003 (all three went OVER total)
Titans 4-16 ATS past 20 games vs AFC West teams dating to 2002

New York Jets -3.5 at Oakland +3.5

Raiders played 6 of past 7 home games OVER total

Kansas City +15 at San Diego -15

Beware – Chargers just 5-4 SU past 9 as fave of 9 or more points

Baltimore -3.5 at St Louis +3.5

Ravens only lost 3 of past 20 as favorite (one was last week at Tennessee)

Green Bay -4 at Chicago +4

Packers 10-3 ATS past 13 trips to Chicago
Past 7 meetings all went UNDER the total
Packers 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS past 10 games as favorite

Arizona -3 at Seattle +3

Cardinals lost 8 straight road games (1-7 ATS)
Seahawks 2-8 ATS past 10 as underdog
OVER is 10-2 past 12 Seahawks games as underdog

Atlanta -1 at Tampa Bay +1

Bucs are a woeful 4-16 ATS past 20 at home
Bucs 6-1 ATS past 7 games as underdog

Pittsburgh -11 at Indianapolis +11

Before last week, Colts were on an 18-1 SU run vs AFC North teams

Washington OFF at Dallas OFF

Redskins 7-2 ATS in the past 9 vs Cowboys