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Luck and Colts Have Dominated AFC South Competition

Indianapolis has been a pile of hot flaming garbage through five weeks yet has somehow pulled out two wins. The Colts will pull their circus act into Houston on Sunday to take on the 3-2 Texans in prime-time Week 6 football action.

SHARK BITES
  • The Colts are 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games against the Texans.
  • The Texans are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games against teams with losing records.
  • The Colts are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games against their division.

The Colts have been good in very few categories this season but they do have a check mark in arguably the most important one. Andrew Luck has been the only light to break through the darkness that’s been the Colts season so far as he’s thrown for 1469 yards and racked up 10 touchdowns. Going up against a limited Texans pass rush could spell a huge day for the Stanford slinger who has been sacked more than any quarterback this season.

If Luck reads the Houston D like he reads books in his free time, the Texans could be in for a world of hurt Sunday night.

Houston may be above .500 but they could very well be the least impressive winning team in the NFL. Their (ugly) wins so far have come against the Chiefs, the Bears and the Titans. The Texans rank dead last in points scored per game at 16.4 and they’ve given up an average of 29 points per game since losing JJ Watt.

This is a huge matchup in the AFC South standings and Houston has been excellent at home in their last nine games. I expect Houston to put up the most points they have all season on Sunday but I also expect them to get scored on – a lot.

Indy should win by at least a score but these prime-time games have been weird all year.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Bettors who were going with the Houston Texans in this one found them listed as -3-point favorites on the betting line at Bovada. Fans betting on totals have seen that number set earlier in the week at 46 for Sunday.

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 29-15 result in favor of the Texans. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

This season the Houston Texans are 3-2 overall and 3-2 ATS against the spread, while the Colts are 2-3 and 2-3 ATS. As for the totals, Houston is 2-3 on the OU, and Indianapolis is 4-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Houston vs Indianapolis injuries news.

The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Houston Texans at No. 11 and the Indianapolis Colts at No. 31 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Houston's No. 31-ranked offense, averaging 16.4 PPG, against a Colts defense that ranks No. 31 this week at 29.6 PPG. The Texans aerial game is averaging 208.6 yards per game, less than the Colts secondary allows through the air, 301.8 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Indianapolis Colts own the league's No. 26-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 135 yards per game when on the road. Houston, on the other hand, rates No. 12 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In Indianapolis's last outing, Andrew Luck threw for 322 yards to lead the Colts over Chicago 29-23 at Lucas Oil Stadium.

The Texans suffered a Week 5 loss against Minnesota in their last game, falling 31-13 at U.S. Bank Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
  • Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
  • Houston is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Houston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games
  • Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Indianapolis at Tennessee, Sunday, October 23rd
Houston at Denver, Monday, October 24th

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