Andrew Luck hopes to continue the Indianapolis Colts' tradition of dominating the Jacksonville Jaguars alive this Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium.
The Colts are 15-7 SU in their last 22 games against Jacksonville and 8-3 SU in their last 11 home games against the Jags. Jacksonville is just 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 30 (Colts) and the No. 28 (Jaguars) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 15-12 result in favor of the Colts is predicted by handicapping models.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Indianapolis's No. 23-ranked offense (22 PPG) against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 21 at 26.5 PPG. The Colts passing attack has averaged 243.5 yards per game, more than the Jaguars give up through the air (230.5 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Jaguars feature the league's No. 21-rated road run defense, allowing 123 yards per game. Indianapolis, meanwhile, ranks No. 19 in rushing offense at home.
Jacksonville was a 27-7 loser in its last match at home against the Texans. They failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 34 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
The Colts were a 23-20 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Vikings. They covered the 2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (43) made winners of UNDER bettors. Donnie Avery hauled in 9 passes for 111 yards against the Minnesota defense in the team's last game, leading Indianapolis over the Vikings 23-20 on Sunday.
Jacksonville Jaguars Trends:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 4-6
Indianapolis Colts Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the division are 6-4
A few Jaguars at Colts trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Jacksonville's last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games at home
Indianapolis is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Indianapolis is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville home to Cincinnati, Sunday, September 30
Indianapolis home to Green Bay, Sunday, October 7