Jacksonville gets a rare Monday Nighter and it's not a spot where they have excelled over the years, going just 2-7 ATS since 1999.
And they face a tough Baltimore team that manhandled the Jets and Texans the past two weeks. The Ravens also boast a 7-1 SU run against the Jaguars.
Of note, the past five Jaguar Monday Nighters all played UNDER the number and Baltimore is 5-1 ATS on prime time Mondays. The Ravens have also been taking care of business as a favorite, going 8-2 ATS the past 10 times. [ See article on dozens of Monday Night Football prop odds ]
In fact, there are two competing books that have the best lines on two sides of this game - if you like the Ravens and OVER, then 5Dimes is the best spot at -10, -102 and 38.5, -103, while the best Jaguars number and UNDER value is at TopBet at 39, -110 and +10.5, -115)
Power Rankings / Prediction:
It's a betting matchup between the No. 26-rated Jaguars and the No. 1-ranked Ravens, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 35-9 result in favor of the Ravens.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Jacksonville's No. 31-ranked offense, averaging 12 PPG, against a Ravens defense that ranks No. 1 this week at 14.2 PPG. The Jaguars aerial game is averaging 137.7 yards per game, less than the Ravens secondary allows through the air, 209.6 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Ravens own the league's No. 8-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 93 yards per game when on the road. Jacksonville, on the other hand, rates No. 12 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
In their last action, Baltimore was a 29-14 winner at home against the Texans. They covered the 6.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (43) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Joe Flacco led the way last time out for the Ravens, connecting for 305 passing yards and a 29-14 victory over the Texans at M&T Bank Stadium.
Last time out for Jacksonville, they were a 17-13 loser as they battled the Steelers on the road. The Jaguars covered in the match as a 12-point underdog, while 30 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, the Jaguars were Week 6 losers coming out on the wrong end of 17-13 score against Pittsburgh.
Baltimore Ravens Trends:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 8-2
Jacksonville Jaguars Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 3-7
A few Ravens at Jaguars trends to consider:
Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Jacksonville
Baltimore is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Jacksonville is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Jacksonville's last 18 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore home to Arizona, Sunday, October 30
Jacksonville at Houston, Sunday, October 30