The Jacksonville Jaguars are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three games against the Indianapolis Colts and they'll look to make it 4-0 this Sunday at EverBank Field.
The total went UNDER in all three of those Jacksonville wins.
Indianapolis is 3-0 SU and ATS over its last three games and is fighting for a playoff spot. The Jaguars have lost five straight games (2-3 ATS) while Indianapolis has won three straight games (3-0 ATS).
The Colts opened at 5Dimes as 3-point road favorites with a total of 42.5 over at . The scores prediction engine sees a low-scoring game here.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Jaguars - Colts odds would favor the Colts if the lines were set according to power ranks. Jacksonville is rated No. 32 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Colts sit at No. 17. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 17-9 win for the Colts.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Jacksonville's No. 32-ranked offense (14.6 PPG) against a Colts defense that ranks No. 23 at 23.9 PPG. The Jaguars passing attack has averaged 170.4 yards per game, less than the Colts give up through the air (221.5 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Colts own the league's No. 30-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 159.3 yards per game when on the road. Jacksonville, on the other hand, rates No. 30 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Indianapolis was a 23-20 winner in its last match at home against the Dolphins. They covered the 2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 43 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. In their last game, Indianapolis's aerial attack generated 433 yards and the Colts came away with a 23-20 victory over Miami at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Last time out for Jacksonville, they were a 31-14 loser as they battled the Lions at home. The Jaguars failed to cover in the match as a 6-point underdog, while 45 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Blaine Gabbert passed for 2 touchdowns in his team's last game, but it wasn't enough to overcome the Lions, who won 31-14 on Sunday.
Indianapolis Colts Trends:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the division are 5-5
Jacksonville Jaguars Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the division are 4-6
A few Colts at Jaguars trends to consider:
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indianapolis's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Indianapolis's last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 11 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Jacksonville's last 11 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Indianapolis at New England, Sunday, November 18
Jacksonville at Houston, Sunday, November 18
Luck, Colts Gain Momentum on NFL Moneyline
Less than a week after breaking the rookie record for passing yards in a game, Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck will look to guide his young club to yet more success on the NFL moneyline. Expect big things as they line up against a Jacksonville Jaguars team trapped in a forgettable 2012 season.
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Although granted, the Thursday Night Football battles that pit top contenders against one another are typically the popular choices, the Luck versus lowly Jaguars matchup this week is appealing in its own right. Just how far, fans and NFL oddsmakers alike wonder, can this kid take them?
With three consecutive wins dating back to Week 7 and a 5-3 overall record, Indianapolis is encroaching on playoff territory. The NFL moneyline has started to react accordingly. Despite the move in the right direction though, the Colts still have just 75/1 odds of winning the Super Bowl.
Now with four 300-plus-yard games under his belt, a 433-yard game and touchdowns in all but one of the eight games he’s suited up for this season, Luck will look to continue to build on what’s already turning out to be a remarkable first-year campaign. The Colts, don’t forget, finished with just two wins all year last season.
It’s not every day that a rookie shows the poise and production that Luck has this season (and this year we have two such rookies, thanks to RG3), but that’s no guarantee it will translate into success on the NFL futures. That’s where you come in.