Jets vs Falcons MNF Betting Preview

Two teams trying to bounce back from difficult losses meet at the Georgia Dome when the New York Jets travel to face the favored Atlanta Falcons on Monday Night.

These two teams began the season with way different expectations. The Jets have been a pleasant surprise, despite losing last week at the Tennessee Titans. Jets rookie QB Geno Smith has been better than advertised, and coach Rex Ryan’s defense has been tough.

The Falcons, on the other hand, had Super Bowl expectations, but have slumped to a 1-3 start, including a home loss to the New Patriots last week. Atlanta has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games. The Falcons’ three losses have come against opponents were a combined 10-0 heading into Monday’s game between the Saints and Dolphins.

The Falcons head towards a bye week and are 7-2 ATS past 9 seasons in this situation heading into a week of rest. For totals bettors, five of the past six meetings of the Jets and Falcons have played UNDER the total.

The Jets and Falcons last met in 2009, with Atlanta pulling out a 10-7 win on the road. They will face the 2-2 Jets, who own a 3-1 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Falcons are 3-1 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Jets are 2-2 favoring the OVER.

View New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons Odds and Stats.

Bettors looking to back the visiting Jets in this one found them as 7-point underdogs earlier in the week at Bovada, while the total was settling in the neighborhood of 44 at shops such as SportBet.

The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Falcons at No. 9 and the Jets at No. 28 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 18-16 result in favor of the Falcons.

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New York was a 38-13 loser in its last match on the road against the Titans. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 51 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. In Atlanta's last outing, Matt Ryan threw for 421 yards in a losing cause against the Patriots, 30-23 at Georgia Dome.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Atlanta's No. 14-ranked offense, averaging 23.5 PPG, against a Jets defense that ranks No. 13 this week at 22 PPG. The Falcons aerial game is averaging 316.5 yards per game, more than the Jets secondary allows through the air, 203.75 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Jets feature the league's No. 7-rated road run defense, allowing 84 yards per game. Atlanta, meanwhile, ranks No. 30 in rushing offense at home.

A few Jets at Falcons trends to consider:
NY Jets is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
NY Jets is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games

Next up:
New York at Pittsburgh, Sunday, October 13th
Atlanta at Tampa Bay, Sunday, October 20th

 

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