If the Kansas City Chiefs hope to take down the Dallas Cowboys in Week 9, they will need to plan on how to stop Ezekiel Elliott. Elliott’s six-game suspension has been placed on hold for the time being and could be a huge boost for the Cowboys, who opened as -1 favorites.
- The Chiefs are 3-1 SU on the road this season with an average margin of victory of 12 points.
- The visiting team is 1-7 SU in the last eight games in this matchup.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 7 games on the road.
I think it’s safe to say the Cowboys are a better team with Elliott in the lineup. The reigning rushing champion has been a man among boys in the last two games with five touchdowns and just under 300 rushing yards. And it’s no coincidence that Dallas has covered in its past two games and both games went OVER. Elliott’s presence heavily influences the total and spread in this matchup and he could be a nightmare for the Chiefs, who are allowing 153 rushing yards per game in their last three contests. Look for the offensive load to be shouldered by the star tailback and he could give Kansas City some headaches.
The Chiefs throttled the Broncos on Monday after coming off back-to-back losses to the Steelers and Raiders. Kansas City looks to be over its two-game slide and sports an excellent 6-2 SU and ATS record this season. Bettors should not be dissuaded from placing their wager on the Chiefs. They are 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 games on the road and would be undefeated away from Arrowhead Stadium this season if not for a final clunky Raiders drive.
The total opened at 51.5 and the OVER may be as close to a lock as there is. In KC games, the total has gone OVER in six of eight this season while the OVER has hit in five of the Cowboys’ seven contests. Add in that Kansas City is averaging 34 points per game on the road and this matchup seems like an offensive explosion waiting to happen, especially now that Zeke is back for Week 9.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
The Kansas City Chiefs opened as 1-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including Sportsbook), while the total was hovering around 49 at most shops.
OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game picked a 31-18 victory for the Cowboys. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
Dallas brings a 4-3 record (4-3 ATS) to the Week 9 matchup against the 6-2 Kansas City Chiefs, who are 6-2 against the spread. OVER/UNDER betting has seen Dallas go 5-2 so far and the Chiefs go 6-2. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Dallas vs Kansas City injuries news.
The Cowboys-Chiefs odds would favor the Chiefs if the betting lines were set according to power ranks. Dallas is rated No. 9 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Chiefs sit at No. 1.
Statistical Matchup
The game also pits Dallas's No. 5-ranked offense, averaging 28.29 PPG, against a Chiefs defense that ranks No. 19 this week at 22.5 PPG. The Cowboys aerial game is averaging 219.29 yards per game, less than the Chiefs secondary allows through the air, 261.12 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Chiefs feature the league's No. 18-rated road run defense, allowing 115 yards per game. The Cowboys, meanwhile, rank No. 1 in rushing offense at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Travis Kelce was good for 133 receiving yards in the Chiefs' most recent action, helping his team to a 29-19 victory over the Broncos.
Washington was unable to contain Ezekiel Elliott in its last action Sunday and the result was a 33-19 Week 8 win for the Cowboys.
- Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
- Kansas City is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
- Kansas City is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
- Dallas is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
- Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
- Dallas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Kansas City at New York, Sunday, November 19
Dallas at Atlanta, Sunday, November 12
