The New York Giants return home to host the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 11 and head coach Ben McAdoo may as well have stayed in vibrant San Francisco. After a crushing loss to the formerly winless 49ers and falling to a listless 1-8 SU this season, McAdoo is on the fast track to be the first NFL coach fired. The Giants opened as a double-digit dog at home for the first time since Week 17 in 2007.
- The Chiefs are 9-2 SU and ATS in their last 11 games on the road.
- The Giants are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games as home underdogs.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 8 games on the road.
Bettors shouldn’t spend too much time deep-diving and looking for an edge for the Giants. This season has been nothing short of a disaster for New York. Expected to compete for the NFC East and contend for the Super Bowl, the only thing they can compete for now is the first pick in the upcoming draft. The Giants rank in the bottom three in both passing yards allowed (267.8) and rushing yards allowed (132.6) this season and considering their defense was expected to be their foundation, statistics like that support the belief that this team has quit on its coach. Placing a wager for the Giants to cover would be a fool’s bet at this stage of the season, especially when you consider they’re 1-4 ATS in their last five and 0-4 ATS at home.
After starting the year 6-0 SU and ATS, the Chiefs were the experts’ pick to dethrone the Patriots in the AFC and contend for the Super Bowl. Since a tough loss to Pittsburgh in Week 7, Kansas City is having trouble regaining that spark and has gone 1-3 SU and ATS in its last four games. While they should dispatch the Giants this week, a troubling stat for KC is that their pass defense is allowing 259 yards per game through the air (ranked 25th). If the Chiefs (who had yet to be a double-digit favorite this season) can’t cover against the downtrodden Giants, their secondary may be their downfall.
The total opened at 43.5 and bettors should seriously consider the OVER. The total has gone OVER in five of the Giants’ last seven games despite their horrendous offense. The Giants are ranked 27th in the league at 16.67 points per game and luckily for OVER bettors, the Chiefs hover around 28 points per game (ranked fifth). Look for KC to do most of the heavy lifting in the scoring department in this one.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Those siding with the visitors in this matchup saw the Kansas City Chiefs listed as 13.5-point favorites at shops such as Sportsbook. Meanwhile, the OVER/UNDER line for the betting matchup was at 44 over at Sportsbook.
NFL prediction models run by the computers at OddsShark picked a 29-20 result in favor of the Chiefs earlier in the week. Watch matchup reports and the picks page for any changes, due to injuries or suspensions this week. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.
Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Giants Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Kansas City Chiefs will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Sunday, as they are 6-3 versus the spread this season, while the New York Giants are 3-6 ATS. Kansas City is 6-3 against the OVER/UNDER total, while New York is 5-4 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New York vs Kansas City injuries news.
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 30-rated Giants and the No. 7-rated Chiefs in this matchup.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the New York Giants' No. 28-ranked offense (16.67 PPG) against a Kansas City Chiefs defense that ranks No. 20 at 23.11 PPG. The Giants passing attack has averaged 217.78 yards per game, less than the Chiefs give up through the air (259.22 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Chiefs own the league's No. 21-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 118.2 yards per game when on the road. New York, on the other hand, rates No. 25 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Last time out, Kansas City got 2 scoring strikes from Alex Smith in a 28-17 loss against Dallas.
Sterling Shepard was good for 142 receiving yards in the Giants' most recent action, but while it helped his stats, it didn't help his team to victory and they fell 31-21 to the 49ers.
- Kansas City is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
- Kansas City is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
- Kansas City is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
- NY Giants is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
- NY Giants is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants' last 7 games
- NY Giants is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Kansas City home to Buffalo, Sunday, November 26
New York at Washington, Thursday, November 23
