Lions vs Packers Betting Preview
The Green Bay Packers are 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings against the Detroit Lions, and will look to continue their dominance over their division rival Sunday night at Lambeau Field.
Green Bay is a staggering 21-0 SU and 14-5-2 ATS in its last 21 home games against the Lions.
While the Packers dominate division foes (10-0 SU, 9-1 ATS past 10 within NFC North), the Lions struggle (1-8 SU, 0-8-1 ATS).
Detroit is just 5-13-1 ATS over its last 19 games. The total has gone UNDER in four of Green Bay's last five games and in five of the last seven games between these two teams.
Bettors who were going with the Packers in this one found them listed as 7-point favorites on the betting line at 5Dimes. Totals bettors have seen that number set earlier in the week at 53 over at Bovada for Sunday night's game.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Packers - Lions odds would favor the Packers if the lines were set according to power ranks. Green Bay is rated No. 10 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Lions sit at No. 15. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 27-23 win for the Packers.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Green Bay's No. 12-ranked offense, averaging 24.7 PPG, against a Lions defense that ranks No. 25 this week at 26.2 PPG. The Packers aerial game is averaging 245.6 yards per game, more than the Lions secondary allows through the air, 234 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Lions own the league's No. 18-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 118.2 yards per game when on the road. Green Bay, on the other hand, rates No. 17 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Detroit was a 35-33 loser in its last match at home against the Colts. They failed to cover the 7-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 68 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Matthew Stafford's 313-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Indianapolis earned a 35-33 win over Detroit on Sunday at Ford Field.
In their last action, Green Bay was a 23-14 winner at home against the Vikings. They covered the 7-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (37) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. The Packers grabbed a Week 13 victory over the Vikings in their last game, winning 23-14 at Lambeau Field.
Detroit Lions Trends:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 3-7
Green Bay Packers Trends:
When playing in December are 7-3
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the division are 10-0
A few Lions at Packers trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Detroit's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Green Bay is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Detroit
Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Detroit at Arizona, Sunday, December 16
Green Bay at Chicago, Sunday, December 16