A really ugly-looking mid-week matchup between the Ravens and Dolphins means that REAL Thursday Night Football is back. The total for this one could close as the lowest in the recent history of TNF and according to the trends, that means we’re in for a rough broadcast.
- 37 would be the lowest total in the NFL since 2014.
- The Dolphins are 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games against the Ravens.
- The Dolphins are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games at night.
Prior to this week, the five contests that had the lowest totals in TNF history all went UNDER and the average final total in those games was an eye-stabbing, bleach-drinking 26.4 points. So, are we about to witness a Thursday night punt fest? Maybe not.
The OVER/UNDER record for TNF this season is 5-2 and even with those two UNDERs, games have gone OVER their closing total by an average of seven points. Defenses are having a hard time getting recovered with the short week and new rules that limit how much teams can practice are affecting their readiness.
Miami’s offense actually looked respectable against the Jets once Matt Moore entered for an injured Jay Cutler and that should continue when Jay Ajayi and the Fish go up against the NFL’s worst rush defense.
The 24-year-old sophomore rusher out of Boise State by way of London, England is having a bit of a rough season but his 130-yard performance against the Falcons in Week 6 reminded us what he’s capable of. Expect Moore to lean heavily on his lead back and mix in play-action once the run is established.
If those two things happen, this total could be smashed and the Dolphins could break a long streak of failing to cover the spread against the Ravens.
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Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
On the Sportsbook betting line for this matchup, the Baltimore Ravens sat as 2.5-point favorites at shops such as Sportsbook. The total has been pegged by the oddsmakers at Sportsbook at 38.
A 21-17 result in favor of the Ravens was the prediction by the OddsShark handicapping pick engine earlier this week. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.
Miami Dolphins vs Baltimore Ravens Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
This season the Baltimore Ravens are 3-4 overall and 3-4 against the spread, while the Dolphins are 4-2 and 3-2-1 ATS. As for the totals, Baltimore is 4-3 on the OU, and Miami is 1-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Baltimore vs Miami injuries news.
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 21-rated Baltimore Ravens and the No. 24-rated Miami Dolphins in this matchup.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the Baltimore Ravens' No. 23-ranked offense (18.57 PPG) against a Miami Dolphins defense that ranks No. 7 at 18.67 PPG. The Ravens passing attack has averaged 157.43 yards per game, less than the Dolphins give up through the air (225.83 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Dolphins own the league's No. 6-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 82.33 yards per game when on the road. Baltimore, on the other hand, rates No. 15 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Matt Moore threw a pair of TD passes in Miami's last match, defeating New York 31-28 in Week 7 action on Sunday.
In their last game, the Ravens were Week 7 losers coming out on the wrong end of a 24-16 score against Minnesota.
- Miami is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
- Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
- Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
- Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
- Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
- Baltimore is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Miami home to Oakland, Sunday, November 5
Baltimore at Tennessee, Sunday, November 5
