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Bengals are a Good Bet to Bounce Back

The Cincinnati Bengals have come out on the wrong end in games vs AFC heavyweights the last two weeks, dropping back-to-back games and failing to cover the spread vs the Steelers and Broncos. But three straight losses for them has been rare, as they’re 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five games after consecutive losses. The Dolphins, meanwhile, will be looking to end a streak of three straight road losses on Thursday nights.

Shark Bites
  • Both Ryan Tannehill and Andy Dalton have losing records and sub 80 QB ratings in night games.
  • The Dolphins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs the Bengals, but these teams haven't played since 2013.
  • The Dolphins are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games as road underdogs.

Miami certainly didn’t pass the eye test when they barely squeezed out a win in their home opener vs the Browns last week and their recent results on the road haven’t been pretty either. They’re 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games, losing five of those games by a touchdown or more. Teams with losing records haven’t done so good in Cincinnati, as the Bengals are 9-1 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games when hosting a team with a losing record.

Looking at some non-trend related numbers, the Bengals offense — ranked first in the AFC — should match up pretty well vs a Dolphins pass defense that allowed 563 yards through the air to the Patriots’ and Browns’ backups the last two weeks. The Bengals should also be able to get the ground game going as Miami has allowed the second-most rushing yards in the NFL this season — 442.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Cincinnati Bengals were listed as -7-point favorites at Bovada and other online Sportsbooks, with the total listed at one point at 43.5.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 30-15 win for the Bengals. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Miami Dolphins will try to spoil to the party on Thursday; they are 1-2 ATS against the spread this season, while the Cincinnati Bengals are 0-2-1 ATS. Miami is 2-1 on the over under betting totals; Cincinnati is 2-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Cincinnati vs Miami injuries news.

The game pits the Cincinnati Bengals, currently No. 11 in our Odds Shark NFL Power Rankings, against the Miami Dolphins, who rate No. 28 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Cincinnati Bengals No. 25-ranked offense (18.67 PPG) against a Miami Dolphins defense that ranks No. 15 at 22.33 PPG. The Bengals passing attack has averaged 293 yards per game, more than the Dolphins give up through the air (268.33 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Miami Dolphins own the league's No. 23-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 136.5 yards per game when on the road. Cincinnati, on the other hand, rates No. 9 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Miami comes off a game where it received a 3-TD performance from Ryan Tannehill in defeating the Browns 30-24.

Cincinnati's Jeremy Hill scored 2 TDs in their last game but they still lost 29-17 to the Broncos.

Betting Trends
  • Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
  • Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
  • Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
  • Cincinnati is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
  • Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
  • Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami

Next Betting Matchups

Miami home to Tennessee, Sunday, October 9th
Cincinnati at Dallas, Sunday, October 9th

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